005
FXUS64 KLZK 012338
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
638 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Mainly mid to high level moisture prevails across the region early
this morning as a weak frontal boundary approaches. The boundary
will ride the NW flow currently in place as the highly amplified
pattern of late continues. Guidance remains in good agreement
that synoptic scale ridging will remain over the western CONUS
with subsequent downstream troughing over the eastern half of the
county through Saturday although the pattern does dampen out
somewhat with time.

Only light showers are seen on local radars over NW Arkansas this
morning and are associated with the aforementioned boundary. Even
as the boundary moves into central Arkansas today, precipitation
will be scarce with only slight chance/chance POPS justified with
most of the CWA remaining dry.

Precipitation chances will be slightly higher tonight into
Tuesday as the front pushes through with rain amounts averaging
under a tenth of an inch. Only slightly cooler air will follow the
boundary with highs Monday/Tuesday ranging from the upper 70s
over the north to near 90 over the south.

After a dry Wednesday, the next front, also caught up in the NW
flow, will move through Wednesday night and Thursday and followed
quickly by surface high pressure. This front has even less
moisture to work with than its predecessor and will be largely
unnoticed with little if any precipitation and only slightly
cooler temps across the north.

One final front will make its way through in the state Friday and
Friday night but you guessed it, precipitation chances will be
minimal with this boundary as well. Overall, temperatures look to
average pretty close to seasonal averages for the first week of
September.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

VFR conds are expected to prevail through the TAF period.
Widely scattered SHRA/RA are possible over portions of the state
this evening, and again early Tues morning over Cntrl/Srn sections
of the state with the passage of a weak upper disturbance. Wind
overnight will be light and variable and mainly out of the NW at
less than 10 kts on Tues.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     63  87  63  88 /  20  20  20  10
Camden AR         65  88  66  88 /  30  30  10  20
Harrison AR       61  80  60  83 /  30  40  10  10
Hot Springs AR    66  86  65  87 /  30  30  10  10
Little Rock   AR  67  86  66  87 /  20  20  20  10
Monticello AR     67  89  67  89 /  30  40  10  20
Mount Ida AR      66  86  64  87 /  30  30  10  10
Mountain Home AR  61  84  61  86 /  20  40  10  10
Newport AR        64  88  64  88 /  20  20  20  10
Pine Bluff AR     65  88  65  87 /  20  20  20  20
Russellville AR   66  88  65  89 /  30  30  10  10
Searcy AR         64  87  64  88 /  20  20  20  20
Stuttgart AR      66  87  65  87 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...70