853
FXUS64 KLZK 211108
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
608 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

-A slight cooling of high temperatures from extreme values are
 expected statewide over the next several days.

-POP chances will be present over the next few days for portions
 of Arkansas, but any rain or storms that materialize will be
 isolated and not amount to much total rainfall.

-Heat safety must still be practiced as temperatures remain across
 most of the state above average for this time of the year.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 228 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Currently, as of 2 AM CDT, a stationary boundary remains draped
along the I-40 corridor across central Arkansas. This boundary is
expected to gradually track southward as a weak cold front into
southern Arkansas today.

In response, high temperatures across much of the state will
experience a very limited form of relief. Instead of widespread 100F
to 105F or greater temperatures across a large part of the state,
many locations across Arkansas may only reach the upper 90s,
possibly ending several streaks statewide of multiple 100 degree or
higher days on Friday.

This trend is expected to continue over the next several days as
high temperatures will still peak well above normal for this time of
the year across most of the state, but may struggle to reach 100
degrees in many locations.

The trend is the result of northwesterly flow aloft over Arkansas as
the upper lvl ridge is expected to remain cemented over the Four
Corners region of the CONUS. In response, a series of frontal
boundaries are expected to move through the state which will
introduce limited increases in chances for POPs, increased cloud
cover, and a slight reduction in temperatures overall.

A continued pattern of hot and dry conditions are expected to
continue overall across the state, but oppressive temperatures, in
the the form of extreme high air temperatures are not expected to be
near the values experience over the last several days.
Unfortunately, heat index values will remain between 105 and 109
degrees across most of central and southern Arkansas prompting the
continuation of the Heat Advisory for today.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 AM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Expect VFR flight category for the entire forecast period from
Friday morning through Saturday morning across all sites. Introduced
VCTS for Friday afternoon into Friday evening for KHOT and KADF.
Confidence is low, but if any storm is able to develop and impact a
TAF site, then VSBY may briefly drop to MVFR or IFR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     98  72  98  71 /   0  10  30  20
Camden AR        101  73  99  71 /  10  20  20  20
Harrison AR       93  71  92  67 /   0  10  20  10
Hot Springs AR   100  74  98  72 /  20  30  30  20
Little Rock   AR 100  75  99  74 /   0  10  30  40
Monticello AR    100  74 100  73 /   0  10  10  30
Mount Ida AR     100  72  97  70 /  20  30  40  20
Mountain Home AR  94  70  93  68 /   0  10  30  20
Newport AR        95  72  96  72 /   0   0  30  20
Pine Bluff AR     98  72  98  72 /   0  10  20  30
Russellville AR  100  73  97  72 /  20  20  30  20
Searcy AR         97  71  97  71 /   0  10  30  20
Stuttgart AR      98  73  98  74 /   0  10  20  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
for ARZ031-032-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-121-122-130-137-138-
140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74