899
FXUS64 KLZK 311654
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1154 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

- High temperatures will remain around seasonal normal high
  temperatures through Tuesday, then drop a couple of degrees
  below normal on Thursday, the hover around normal through next
  weekend.

- Northwest flow will persist with multiple disturbances/cold
  fronts bring chances for showers and thunderstorms to the state
  through next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Another quiet night across the Natural State with just a few patches
of mid and high level cloudiness with light and variable winds early
this morning. A few radar returns are noted over far western
Arkansas with a few sprinkles not out of the question, but most
locations will stay dry through sunrise. A weak shortwave embedded
within northwest flow will some chance POPs to the state on today
with the best chances being across western and northwestern
Arkansas.

By Monday, a front currently in the central Plains will dive
south within northwest flow and approaches the state sometime
during the morning hours. The cold front will bring chances
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over
western and northwestern Arkansas on Monday and an isolated shower
or thunderstorm elsewhere within the state. By Monday
afternoon/evening into Tuesday, the cold front will bring
additional chances for showers and thunderstorms statewide with
slightly cooler air filtering in behind the front by Tuesday
night.

The front will push south of the state with primarily dry
conditions expected on Wednesday before the next cold front
approaches the state by Wednesday night into early Thursday. The
cold front will dive southeast into the state on Thursday into
Friday bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms with another
shot of cooler air ushering in behind the front. High
temperatures across the northern two-thirds of Arkansas may
struggle to get into the lower 80s with only far southern and
southeastern Arkansas likely into the mid 80s on Thursday if
current forecast trends hold.

As we head into the next weekend, another disturbance embedded
within northwest flow will dive southeast bringing chances for
showers and thunderstorms mainly over parts of western Arkansas on
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1153 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Expect VFR flight category for the entire forecast period from early
Sunday afternoon through early Monday afternoon across all
terminals. VCSH have been included in the western terminals of KHOT
and KADF along with the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK a
boundary approaches the state from the northwest late in the period
with an opportunity for some isolated showers beginning late in the
period on Monday morning through the remainder of the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     61  87  62  84 /   0  20  30  40
Camden AR         64  89  63  88 /   0  20  10  30
Harrison AR       62  80  61  77 /  20  40  50  50
Hot Springs AR    66  86  65  87 /  10  30  20  40
Little Rock   AR  65  85  65  84 /   0  20  20  40
Monticello AR     65  90  66  89 /   0  10  10  30
Mount Ida AR      65  86  64  85 /  10  40  20  40
Mountain Home AR  61  82  60  81 /  10  20  40  40
Newport AR        62  88  64  84 /   0  10  20  30
Pine Bluff AR     64  88  64  87 /   0  10  10  30
Russellville AR   66  86  65  86 /  10  30  30  40
Searcy AR         63  88  63  85 /   0  20  20  40
Stuttgart AR      64  88  64  85 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...74