


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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672 FXUS64 KLZK 180024 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR Issued by National Weather Service Memphis TN 724 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Latest observations indicate scattered convection across mainly central sections of the forecast area. Very unstable conditions were noted along the interstate 40 corridor, with 3000 j/kg MLCAPE noted. Focus for convective development is rather diffuse; expect this activity to continue through the peak diurnal insolation cycle. A cold front will approach from the northwest on Wednesday. This feature will provide a more focused convective event, to affect the forecast area from northwest to southeast, from the afternoon hours through late Wednesday night. Severe thunderstorms && .LONG TERM... (Thursday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 The upper level flow over North America will amplify during this period. By the end of this period, an axis of upper level high pressure will stretch from the central Texas to New England. Dry conditions with above normal temperatures will prevail during this forecast period. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 716 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 VFR conds are expected overnight with SHRA/TSRA arriving across Nrn terminals between 08/10z Wed, spreading SE to include Cntrl sites near 11/12z Wed. VFR conds are anticipated outside of TSRA activity where VIS`bys may be reduced to MVFR/IFR briefly. Afternoon scattered SHRA/TSRA are possible across Cntrl and Nrn TAF sites. Winds will be S/SW at around 10 kts or less both overnight and on Wed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 91 74 91 71 / 20 20 50 80 Camden AR 92 74 93 72 / 20 20 10 50 Harrison AR 90 72 87 67 / 20 20 60 50 Hot Springs AR 92 74 92 71 / 20 20 20 60 Little Rock AR 91 75 92 72 / 20 20 20 70 Monticello AR 90 75 93 74 / 40 20 10 50 Mount Ida AR 92 74 90 71 / 20 20 20 60 Mountain Home AR 90 73 88 68 / 20 20 70 60 Newport AR 91 75 92 72 / 20 20 30 70 Pine Bluff AR 91 75 93 73 / 20 20 10 60 Russellville AR 93 74 90 70 / 20 20 40 60 Searcy AR 91 74 92 71 / 20 20 30 70 Stuttgart AR 90 75 91 73 / 20 20 10 70 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...70