Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
301 FXUS64 KLZK 122240 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 440 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 325 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 -Dry and warming conditions will persist through the end of the week. -Above-normal temperatures expected, as area readings moderate back to the mid 70s by Friday. -Some areas will approach record values within a few degrees on Saturday with highs near 80 degrees. -Rain chances return to the forecast area by the end of the weekend and into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 325 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Calm and chilly conditions were noted acrs the FA as recent night time sat imgry depicted mostly clear skies, and sfc obs indicated temps in the mid 50s to low 50s acrs the state. The warming trend is expected to continue thru the remainder of the week as low-lvl Srly flow prevails and Cntrl US H500 ridging builds, w/ high temps moderating towards the low 70s. By Sat, current base-blended guidance suggests high temps in the upper 70s to low 80s acrs AR. Some locations would be nearing record daily high values to a few degrees. In the long term, dProg/dt`s for upper level flow are still somewhat variable, as aforementioned ridging is set to weaken, allowing for Wrn US troughing to deepen. The time line on the return of rain chances remains lagged, w/ more widespread and higher magnitude PoPs more lkly by early next week, and as early as Sun night. Given the fcst higher humidity/dewpoints by the weekend, some thunderstorms may be possible w/ returning rain chances as well, but confidence remains low and uncertain on hazardous weather potential near the end of the fcst PD. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 439 PM CST Wed Nov 12 2025 Expect VFR flight category over the forecast period from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening. Surface winds will be light and variable across most terminals to begin the period and become established later Thursday morning after sunrise. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 43 72 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 49 76 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 44 72 54 76 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 47 76 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 47 74 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 52 76 57 79 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 47 77 56 79 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 42 71 53 77 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 44 72 55 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 48 76 56 79 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 45 76 55 80 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 42 73 52 78 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 48 74 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...74