847
FXUS64 KLZK 231026
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
526 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

- Relatively cooler conditions will prevail through the end of the
  week.

- Hazardous heat set to return to the region by Sunday, with
  multiple 100 degree days possible through mid-week next week.

- In addition to daytime heat next week, overnight lows may
  struggle to fall below 80 degrees in some locations.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 232 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

THURSDAY (TODAY) through FRIDAY:

In the upper lvls, the eastern edge of the ridge has weakened
leading to northwesterly flow over Arkansas. In response,
slightly cooler and drier has funneled and continues to funnel
into the state via a continental airmass in the wake of a cold
front that moved across the state yesterday. The trend of these
overall temperatures that will be near normal to a few degrees
below normal will be present through the end of the week.

SATURDAY through WEDNESDAY:

In the upper lvls, the region of high pressure is progged to expand
back eastward over Arkansas and intensify for the remainder of the
forecast period. The established upper lvl region of high pressure
will lead to subsidence or sinking air over Arkansas which will
promote dry conditions.

At the sfc, the cold front that is currently moving southward across
Arkansas is forecast to become a stationary boundary in northern
Louisiana, but then progress northeastward as a warm front back
across Arkansas by the early morning hours on Saturday. In tandem
with the strengthening overhead ridge, the passage of this surface
warm front will allow south-southwesterly winds to become present at
the surface across Arkansas advecting in a combination of warm
temperatures and Gulf moisture that will once again transpire into
increased air temperature values, increased dewpoint temperatures;
therefore, high temperatures across the state are expected to surge
again back to near and above the century mark across most of the
state by the following workweek along with heat indices which will
warrant heat products and likely reach well into the triple digit
values between 105 to 115+ degrees across most of the state.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 AM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Expect VFR flight category for most sites for the entire forecast
period. The exception this morning for a few hours will be possible
MVFR flight category at KPBF and KLLQ which have been included with
TEMPO groups. Surface winds will gust in excess of 20 knots across
the sites of KLIT, KHOT, and KADF beginning later this morning and
lasting through early Thursday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     87  69  91  75 /   0  10  10  30
Camden AR         92  74  93  75 /   0  10  10   0
Harrison AR       86  68  89  75 /   0   0  10  20
Hot Springs AR    92  74  93  76 /   0   0  10  10
Little Rock   AR  90  73  93  78 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     91  76  93  77 /  10  10  20  10
Mount Ida AR      91  73  91  76 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  85  68  87  74 /   0  10  20  30
Newport AR        87  69  91  75 /   0   0  10  30
Pine Bluff AR     90  73  93  75 /   0   0  10  10
Russellville AR   91  73  93  76 /   0   0  10  10
Searcy AR         88  70  92  75 /   0   0  10  20
Stuttgart AR      90  73  93  77 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...74
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...74