501
FXUS64 KLZK 170607
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
107 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 106 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

-Hazardous heat and humidity will persist through the remainder of
the work week, with daily heat headlines likely.

-More widespread rain chances appear possible across the state
through the weekend, though any cooldown will be brief.

-Above-normal temperatures and hazardous heat will persist into
 next week, with triple digit heat possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 106 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Another hot and sultry aftn is in store for the Natural State
today, w/ high temps set to climb to the upper 90s, and some
locations flirting with near triple digit heat, particularly acrs
Srn AR. Hot and humid condns wl cont to headline the fcst, w/ some
ocsnl chcs for rain chcs mixed in over the next seven days,
including low-end rain chcs acrs Nrn AR again later this aftn to
evng, invof a stalled frnt over the Ozark Plateau, but most precip
wl lkly manifest as isolated showers and storms, w/ a lucky few
receiving cooling rainfall/outflow.

Thru the weekend, more widespread PoPs remain possible as Gulf
moisture fm a weak tropical system moves acrs the Gulf Coast.
Uncertainties remain for now regarding the extent of precip covg,
and magnitude of rainfall. Any potential relief fm weekend rainfall
wl be short-lived though, w/ above-normal heat resuming by early
next week. Swrly sfc winds acrs the Srn Cntrl US and H500 high
pressure bcmg centered over the FA wl contribute to area temps
climbing to the century mark over portions of the FA thru at least
the first half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025

Expect VFR conditions to be present across all sites for the
duration of the forecast period from early Thursday morning through
early Friday morning. Surface winds will be light and variable over
the period at most terminals. A small window will exist for VCTS
across the northern terminals of KHRO and KBPK from Thursday
afternoon into Thursday evening as a few isolated thunderstorms will
be possible; however coverage and confidence remains low so did keep
at VCTS for this TAF forecast package.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     95  76  94  75 /  20  10  30  10
Camden AR         99  76  95  75 /   0   0  30  10
Harrison AR       90  72  92  73 /  40  10  20   0
Hot Springs AR    98  77  97  75 /  10   0  20  10
Little Rock   AR  98  78  95  77 /  10   0  20   0
Monticello AR     98  77  93  76 /   0  10  40  10
Mount Ida AR      95  74  96  75 /  10   0  20  10
Mountain Home AR  92  73  92  74 /  40  20  40   0
Newport AR        97  77  95  77 /  10  10  30  10
Pine Bluff AR     98  76  94  76 /   0   0  20  10
Russellville AR   97  77  97  76 /  10  10  20   0
Searcy AR         97  76  94  75 /  10  10  20   0
Stuttgart AR      96  78  94  77 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ007-008-016-017-
024-025-031>033-039-042>046-052>056-062>064-066>069-121>123-130-
137-138-140-141-230-237-238-240-241-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ034-047-
057-065.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...74