926
FXUS64 KLZK 011713
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1213 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Mainly mid to high level moisture prevails across the region early
this morning as a weak frontal boundary approaches. The boundary
will ride the NW flow currently in place as the highly amplified
pattern of late continues. Guidance remains in good agreement
that synoptic scale ridging will remain over the western CONUS
with subsequent downstream troughing over the eastern half of the
county through Saturday although the pattern does dampen out
somewhat with time.

Only light showers are seen on local radars over NW Arkansas this
morning and are associated with the aforementioned boundary. Even
as the boundary moves into central Arkansas today, precipitation
will be scarce with only slight chance/chance POPS justified with
most of the CWA remaining dry.

Precipitation chances will be slightly higher tonight into
Tuesday as the front pushes through with rain amounts averaging
under a tenth of an inch. Only slightly cooler air will follow the
boundary with highs Monday/Tuesday ranging from the upper 70s
over the north to near 90 over the south.

After a dry Wednesday, the next front, also caught up in the NW
flow, will move through Wednesday night and Thursday and followed
quickly by surface high pressure. This front has even less
moisture to work with than its predecessor and will be largely
unnoticed with little if any precipitation and only slightly
cooler temps across the north.

One final front will make its way through in the state Friday and
Friday night but you guessed it, precipitation chances will be
minimal with this boundary as well. Overall, temperatures look to
average pretty close to seasonal averages for the first week of
September.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Light rain showers continue to push across western locations with
only a few sprinkles actually make it to the ground. Overall,
MVFR/VFR conditions are expected through the period with some
increased cloud cover due to a frontal boundary moving through.
Winds will be out of the north and northwest this afternoon before
becoming mainly light and variable overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     62  86  62  88 /  20  20  20  10
Camden AR         65  86  64  89 /  30  30  10  10
Harrison AR       60  80  59  83 /  30  40  10  10
Hot Springs AR    65  85  65  88 /  30  30  10  10
Little Rock   AR  65  83  65  87 /  20  20  10  10
Monticello AR     67  88  66  89 /  30  40  10  20
Mount Ida AR      64  84  63  87 /  30  30  10  10
Mountain Home AR  60  83  60  86 /  20  40  10  10
Newport AR        65  85  63  88 /  20  20  20  10
Pine Bluff AR     65  85  65  88 /  20  20  10  10
Russellville AR   65  86  64  89 /  30  30  10  10
Searcy AR         64  85  62  88 /  20  20  20  10
Stuttgart AR      66  84  65  87 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...73