180
FXUS64 KLZK 290542
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1242 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025


-High temperatures through late next week will be around 5 to 9
 degrees below normal for this time of the year.

-Northwest flow will persist through the period with embedded
 short waves bringing chances for isolated to scattered showers
 and isolated thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Thu Aug 29 2025

Satellite early this morning shows widespread low stratus with
bands of showers over parts of southwest Arkansas with a few
isolated showers over southern Arkansas. The low stratus deck
currently over most of the state should keep fog potential at bay
for most of the state with the exception of northern Arkansas
around Harrison and Mountain Home. Latest hi-res CAMs and
deterministic guidance continues to shows the best chance for
rainfall southern Arkansas with the possibility of some training
over parts of southwest Arkansas through sunrise this morning.

A few showers are possible mainly over parts of south Arkansas as
the trough off pushes east of the state today. Northwest flow
will persist through most of the forecast period. Deterministic
guidances continues to show multiple embedded shortwaves pushing
over the state during the upcoming work week. Guidance does point
to some some subtle timing/strength differences with each
shortwave only bringing chances of isolated to scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms to parts of the state through the
latter part of next week. A look at longer term guidance shows
synoptic scale troughing continuing to prevail over the eastern
half of the CONUS through the entire forecast period. High
temperatures through the end of next week will be around 5 to 9
degrees below normal for late August into early September.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

LIFR/IFR CIGs were ongoing at most terminals and these conds
should persist through 12z/14z Fri AM. In addition to low CIGs, FG
is expected to develop where heavier precip fell today which
would include KLIT and KHOT. By Fri, conds should improve with FG
dissipating and CIGs increasing to MVFR/VFR. Winds will light and
variable overnight and Erly at less than 10 kts on Fri.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     86  61  89  61 /   0   0  10   0
Camden AR         78  64  86  65 /  30  20  20  10
Harrison AR       80  59  84  61 /   0  10  10  10
Hot Springs AR    81  64  86  66 /  20  10  20  10
Little Rock   AR  81  64  86  66 /  10   0  10  10
Monticello AR     81  65  89  66 /  20  10  20  10
Mount Ida AR      79  63  85  64 /  20  20  20  10
Mountain Home AR  84  59  87  61 /   0  10  10   0
Newport AR        87  62  89  64 /   0   0  10   0
Pine Bluff AR     82  62  88  64 /  10  10  10  10
Russellville AR   83  64  88  66 /  10  10  10  10
Searcy AR         85  62  89  64 /   0   0  10   0
Stuttgart AR      84  62  88  65 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...76
AVIATION...56