112
FXUS64 KLZK 152339
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
639 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

-Hot conditions will be the primary story through the weekend and
 into much of next week.

-Additional heat headlines are highly likely into early next week
 if ensemble and deterministic model trends continue.

-Little to no chances for precipitation expected through this
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 308 AM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern
through the weekend into at least the middle of next week. While
some low- end rain chances are possible underneath the ridge, it
is not all that likely as the ridge centers itself over the state.
Model data continues to suggest that some rain chances could be
possible by Thursday of next week.

Under this pattern, dangerously hot temperatures are expected
through the middle of next week as temperatures soar to well above
average. Many locations will likely see temperatures rise to near
100 degrees or just above with heat index values slightly higher.
An extreme heat warning and heat advisories are in effect through
Monday.

Remember that if need to be outside for any reason, make sure to
take plenty of breaks and find shade to rest in. Also be sure to
drink plenty of water and wear sunscreen.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

VFR conds are expected to prevail through the TAF period. Winds
will become light and variable overnight, then W/SW between 5-15
kts on Sun.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     79 104  79 100 /   0  10  10  40
Camden AR         77 100  77 101 /   0   0   0  10
Harrison AR       77  99  75  92 /   0  20  20  30
Hot Springs AR    77 101  78 102 /   0   0   0  20
Little Rock   AR  80 104  81 103 /   0   0   0  40
Monticello AR     79 101  80 101 /   0   0   0  10
Mount Ida AR      76 100  77 101 /   0   0   0  20
Mountain Home AR  76 100  75  93 /   0  20  20  30
Newport AR        78 103  79  99 /   0  10  10  30
Pine Bluff AR     77 101  79 101 /   0   0   0  20
Russellville AR   78 104  77 102 /   0  10  10  30
Searcy AR         77 104  79 102 /   0   0  10  40
Stuttgart AR      79 103  80 102 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for ARZ004-005-014-024-042-
043-052>056-062>069-103-112-113-123-137-140-141-203-212-213-
221>223-237-240-241-313-340-341.

Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT Monday for ARZ006>008-
015>017-025-031>034-039-044>047-057-121-122-130-138-230-238.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...70