Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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591
FXUS64 KLZK 171942
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
Issued by National Weather Service Memphis TN
242 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Latest observations indicate scattered convection across
mainly central sections of the forecast area.
Very unstable conditions were noted along the interstate 40
corridor, with 3000 j/kg MLCAPE noted. Focus for convective
development is rather diffuse; expect this activity to continue
through the peak diurnal insolation cycle.

A cold front will approach from the northwest on Wednesday. This
feature will provide a more focused convective event, to affect
the forecast area from northwest to southeast, from the afternoon
hours through late Wednesday night. Severe thunderstorms

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

The upper level flow over North America will amplify during this
period. By the end of this period, an axis of upper level high
pressure will stretch from the central Texas to New England. Dry
conditions with above normal temperatures will prevail during this
forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

Areas of 3-5sm fog are expected between 09014z. Most widespread 0TSRA
coverage will be from 12-15z across northwest sections of the
state.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  91  71  90 /  20  50  80  20
Camden AR         74  93  72  90 /  20  10  50  40
Harrison AR       72  87  67  86 /  20  60  50  10
Hot Springs AR    74  92  71  90 /  20  20  60  30
Little Rock   AR  75  92  72  90 /  20  20  70  30
Monticello AR     75  93  74  90 /  20  10  50  60
Mount Ida AR      74  90  71  90 /  20  20  60  30
Mountain Home AR  73  88  68  87 /  20  70  60  10
Newport AR        75  92  72  89 /  20  30  70  20
Pine Bluff AR     75  93  73  89 /  20  10  60  40
Russellville AR   74  90  70  90 /  20  40  60  20
Searcy AR         74  92  71  90 /  20  30  70  20
Stuttgart AR      75  91  73  89 /  20  10  70  40

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99