


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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591 FXUS64 KLZK 171942 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR Issued by National Weather Service Memphis TN 242 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Latest observations indicate scattered convection across mainly central sections of the forecast area. Very unstable conditions were noted along the interstate 40 corridor, with 3000 j/kg MLCAPE noted. Focus for convective development is rather diffuse; expect this activity to continue through the peak diurnal insolation cycle. A cold front will approach from the northwest on Wednesday. This feature will provide a more focused convective event, to affect the forecast area from northwest to southeast, from the afternoon hours through late Wednesday night. Severe thunderstorms && .LONG TERM... (Thursday Night through next Tuesday) Issued at 239 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 The upper level flow over North America will amplify during this period. By the end of this period, an axis of upper level high pressure will stretch from the central Texas to New England. Dry conditions with above normal temperatures will prevail during this forecast period. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1231 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Areas of 3-5sm fog are expected between 09014z. Most widespread 0TSRA coverage will be from 12-15z across northwest sections of the state. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 74 91 71 90 / 20 50 80 20 Camden AR 74 93 72 90 / 20 10 50 40 Harrison AR 72 87 67 86 / 20 60 50 10 Hot Springs AR 74 92 71 90 / 20 20 60 30 Little Rock AR 75 92 72 90 / 20 20 70 30 Monticello AR 75 93 74 90 / 20 10 50 60 Mount Ida AR 74 90 71 90 / 20 20 60 30 Mountain Home AR 73 88 68 87 / 20 70 60 10 Newport AR 75 92 72 89 / 20 30 70 20 Pine Bluff AR 75 93 73 89 / 20 10 60 40 Russellville AR 74 90 70 90 / 20 40 60 20 Searcy AR 74 92 71 90 / 20 30 70 20 Stuttgart AR 75 91 73 89 / 20 10 70 40 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...99 LONG TERM....99 AVIATION...99