Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
425
FNUS74 KLZK 160519
FWSLZK
Spot Forecast for Norfork Lake...U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1219 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURE: At ignition, temperatures will be in the mid 50s,
warming into the low 70s by 10 AM, and finally peaking Thursday
afternoon in the mid 80s.
SURFACE WINDS: At ignition, surface winds will be light and
variable, then surface winds will become established around 10 AM
out of the southeast between 5 and 10 mph with an occasional gust
in excess of 15 mph lasting through Thursday afternoon before
winds become out of the southeast around 5 to 8 mph.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH): At ignition, RH will be around 90%, then
will lower to 70% by 10 AM, and finally bottoming out around 40%
for Thursday afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Max temperature.....57 at ignition...Max 84.
Min humidity........92 percent at ignition...Min 39 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 15 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........7 increasing to 40.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....79.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5516 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5000 ft AGL.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57 58 63 69 75 78 81 82 83 84 82
RH..............92 94 85 68 56 48 42 41 39 40 42
20 FT wind dir..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 5
20 FT wind gust.6 7 8 10 10 11 11 12 12 11 10
Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.7 8 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 14
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
.TONIGHT...
Min temperature.....Min 59.
Max humidity........Max 92 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............4.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Dispersion..........24 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and
overnight.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2488 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2000 ft AGL.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC PC MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............81 77 72 70 68 67 66 65 63 63 61 61
RH..............44 52 61 66 70 73 75 78 84 84 89 91
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.10 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
Transp wind dir.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
.FRIDAY...
Max temperature.....Max 86.
Min humidity........Min 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
sunny (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........6 increasing to 33.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....81.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6535 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6000 ft AGL.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61 59 61 65 70 75 79 83 85 86 86 84
RH..............88 92 92 83 71 60 51 45 41 40 41 43
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 11 11 11 10
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 12 13 13 12
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
$$
Forecaster...C POPE
Requested by...Mason Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523717.0/LZK
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mason.d.smith@usace.army.mil