River Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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779
FGUS54 KTUA 161313
RVFLZK

RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
712 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025

THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

: FORECAST GROUP IS Kerr -- Pine Bluff
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     32.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      32.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   36.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      40.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 5.1 FT AT 600 AM CST ON NOV 16
.ER DARA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E2    : 1117 : /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0 /   4.9
.E3    : 1118 : /   4.9 /   4.9 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E4    : 1119 : /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E5    : 1120 : /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E6    : 1121 : /   5.0
.ER DARA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
.E2    : 1117 : /  0.00
.AR DARA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.ER DARA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  7.02 /  9.37 /  9.75
.E2    : 1117 : /  9.61 /  9.13 /  8.22 /  7.28
.E3    : 1118 : /  6.82 /  6.96 /  7.40 /  7.83
.E4    : 1119 : /  8.17 /  8.51 /  8.89 /  9.25
.E5    : 1120 : /  9.46 /  9.55 /  9.56 /  9.54
.E6    : 1121 : /  9.53
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     29.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      30.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   34.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 9.6 FT AT 615 AM CST ON NOV 16
.ER MORA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6
.E2    : 1117 : /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6
.E3    : 1118 : /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6
.E4    : 1119 : /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6
.E5    : 1120 : /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.6
.E6    : 1121 : /   9.6
.ER MORA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
.E2    : 1117 : /  0.00
.AR MORA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.ER MORA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  7.21 /  9.40 /  9.89
.E2    : 1117 : /  9.76 /  9.28 /  8.37 /  7.43
.E3    : 1118 : /  6.97 /  7.10 /  7.53 /  7.97
.E4    : 1119 : /  8.30 /  8.64 /  9.02 /  9.38
.E5    : 1120 : /  9.60 /  9.69 /  9.69 /  9.68
.E6    : 1121 : /  9.66
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ACTION STAGE    273.0 FT       MINOR STAGE     275.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE  278.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE     280.0 FT
:
:LATEST TAILWATER STAGE  IS 248.9 FT AT 600 AM CST ON NOV 16
.ER TODA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/HTIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         / 249.0 / 249.1 / 249.1
.E2    : 1117 : / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1
.E3    : 1118 : / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1
.E4    : 1119 : / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1
.E5    : 1120 : / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1 / 249.1
.E6    : 1121 : / 249.1
.ER TODA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
.E2    : 1117 : /  0.00
.AR TODA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.ER TODA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  6.25 /  7.44 /  9.86
.E2    : 1117 : /  9.86 /  9.46 /  8.59 /  7.66
.E3    : 1118 : /  7.12 /  7.16 /  7.55 /  7.98
.E4    : 1119 : /  8.33 /  8.67 /  9.04 /  9.40
.E5    : 1120 : /  9.63 /  9.75 /  9.77 /  9.76
.E6    : 1121 : /  9.75
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     18.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   25.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 7.5 FT AT 600 AM CST ON NOV 16
.ER LITA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E2    : 1117 : /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E3    : 1118 : /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E4    : 1119 : /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E5    : 1120 : /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4 /   7.4
.E6    : 1121 : /   7.4
.ER LITA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
.E2    : 1117 : /  0.00
.AR LITA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.ER LITA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  6.44 /  6.79 /  7.07
.E2    : 1117 : /  7.37 /  7.77 /  8.39 /  8.51
.E3    : 1118 : /  8.32 /  8.06 /  7.90 /  7.92
.E4    : 1119 : /  8.07 /  8.28 /  8.55 /  8.85
.E5    : 1120 : /  9.15 /  9.42 /  9.64 /  9.79
.E6    : 1121 : /  9.89
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     40.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      42.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   44.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      45.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 31.3 FT AT 600 AM CST ON NOV 16
.ER PBFA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3
.E2    : 1117 : /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3
.E3    : 1118 : /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3
.E4    : 1119 : /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3
.E5    : 1120 : /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3 /  31.3
.E6    : 1121 : /  31.3
.ER PBFA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
.E2    : 1117 : /  0.00
.AR PBFA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.ER PBFA4 1116 C DC202511160712/DH12/QTIFF/DIH6
:FLOW FORECAST/   6AM /  12PM /   6PM /  12AM
.E1    : 1116 :         /  6.19 /  6.19 /  6.19
.E2    : 1117 : /  6.24 /  6.35 /  6.71 /  7.33
.E3    : 1118 : /  8.31 /  8.48 /  8.35 /  8.13
.E4    : 1119 : /  7.99 /  8.00 /  8.13 /  8.34
.E5    : 1120 : /  8.61 /  8.90 /  9.19 /  9.46
.E6    : 1121 : /  9.67
:
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 1116 C DT202511161312/YIIRZ  12 : jhp
:
$$
:
:River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies
:available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel/index.html
:
:...END of MESSAGE...

.ER PBFA4 20251115 Z DH1200/DC202511161309/QTIRZ  /DIH06
.E1  5.6264386/4.9803925/4.416664/3.8108413/3.3445463/