429
FXUS64 KMAF 261051
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
551 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 549 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

- Hot temperatures continue today. Be sure to stay hydrated and
  take frequent breaks in air conditioning or the shade if
  possible.

- Temperatures remain above normal through the forecast period,
  but decrease relative to the past several days.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop over
  portions of the region late today and Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

We finally see that brief pattern change we`ve been talking about
the last few days. Mid/upper ridging has finally shifted west
allowing NW flow to develop aloft. Showers and storms are expected
to develop this afternoon across northern and eastern portions of NM
before sliding southeast. As this occurs, storms will produce gusty
outflow winds and maybe even a bit of rain. Damaging gusts are not
out of the question given how hot and dry the subcloud layer will
be. Storms will dissipate as they move south through the night.

Temperatures will remain hot today, even though we will see a
decrease of a few degrees from Tuesday. Most locations will see the
100 degree mark once again. Clouds and extra moisture in place
should help keep temperatures even cooler Thursday with most
locations in the mid to upper 90s. Isolated showers and storms will
also be possible, almost anywhere.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 103 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Ridging moves back east over the area Friday into the weekend. This
will help suppress most convection once again outside of maybe an
isolated storm in the mountains. Temperatures will climb back up a
few degrees, but it`s possible much of the region will stay below
100. Model solutions diverge later next week as they struggle with
the strength and placement of the upper ridge. Fall is just around
the corner as September begins so a pattern change to
wetter/cooler becomes more likely in the coming weeks (we hope!).

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Seeing light northeast winds behind a dying outflow boundary.
These winds will shift back to the southeast later this morning.
TS are possible after 27/00Z, but confidence in timing and
coverage is too low to include in current TAFs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              102  73  98  72 /   0  30  10  20
Carlsbad                102  72  99  72 /   0  20   0  20
Dryden                  103  75 101  74 /   0   0  20  20
Fort Stockton           102  73  98  72 /   0  10  20  10
Guadalupe Pass           94  70  90  68 /   0  10  30  10
Hobbs                   100  69  96  69 /  10  40  20  30
Marfa                    97  63  93  62 /   0   0  30   0
Midland Intl Airport    101  73  97  72 /   0  40  20  20
Odessa                  101  74  96  73 /   0  40  20  20
Wink                    103  73  98  73 /   0  20   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29