720
FXUS64 KMAF 171722
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1222 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1206 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

- Hot temperatures can be expected through the middle of the week
  and a Heat Advisory is in effect for this afternoon. Many
  locations will reach near or above 100 degrees during this time,
  with a few locations along the Rio Grande potentially reaching
  up to 108-113 degrees.

- Near normal temperatures return beginning Thursday and
  continuing through next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 404 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

The short term forecast remains on track with some of the hottest
temperatures of the year expected for this afternoon. Most locations
will reach into the 100s with only the higher terrain staying in the
upper 90s. The hottest spots will be the Pecos River Valley and the
low desert of the Big Bend. Have kept the inherited Heat Advisory in
place. Temperatures fall into the 70s tonight as a strong low level
jet keeps warm, moist air over the region. Heading into Wednesday, a
front begins to move through the area and temperatures across
southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin fall several degrees
compared to today. Highs end up in the 90s to low 100s with the
hottest portions of the CWA south of the Davis Mountains. Further
heat products will be needed for Presidio and Brewster counties. The
short term remains dry with low(<10%) rain chances.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 404 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

With a weakened ridge and northeast to easterly flow across the
region. Temperatures gradually fall closer to normal through the end
of the week and into this weekend. Morning lows also fall towards
normal with most in the upper 60s to low 70s. Long range guidance
shows flow returning back to the southeast and keeps low level
moisture in the area. Rain chances increase, particularly over the
western half of the CWA as weak short wave troughs move through the
area. Despite somewhat high(30-40%) rain chances, rain amounts
remain to be seen and the forecast will change.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Southerly to
southwesterly winds are expected to shift northerly/northwesterly
at most terminals by tomorrow morning, thanks to a cold front
moving through the region. Occasional gusts up to 30-35 kts are
anticipated through much of the period at most sites as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               74  98  72  97 /  10  10  10   0
Carlsbad                 72  97  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   76 103  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            76 101  72  96 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           70  91  69  91 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    68  94  69  95 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    65  95  65  91 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport     75 100  74  96 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                   74  99  73  96 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                     72 100  73  97 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Andrews-
     Central Brewster-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Crane-Davis
     Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-Eastern
     Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
     Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster
     County-Marfa Plateau-Martin-Midland-Pecos-Presidio Valley-
     Reeves County Plains-Terrell-Van Horn and Highway 54
     Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea-Southern Lea.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...11