833
FXUS64 KMAF 071110
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
610 AM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 609 AM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

- Temperatures remain above normal throughout this week.

- Isolated to scattered (10-30% chance) showers/storms are
  possible each day, mainly in the higher terrain west of the
  Pecos River.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 152 AM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

Highs in the mid 90s are expected the next couple of days. High
pressure over the southern Great Plains keeps southeasterly flow
at all levels advecting in relatively cooler air to West Texas and
eastern New Mexico. The moisture should be enough that an
afternoon cloud deck will form but instability will not be enough
to allow for showers and storms to form. An exception will be in
the Davis Mountains where a few isolated showers may develop.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 152 AM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

Upper level high pressure remains anchored to the north of the
area across the southern United States. The main change is that
mid and lower level flow becomes more southerly, advecting in
warmer temperatures from Mexico and causing temps to increase a
few degrees. This could bring a brief return of 100 degree highs
late in the week. There is model disagreement over the weekend
with regards to a cold front moving into the South Plains. Poor
model to model and run to run consistency leaves great uncertainty
as to whether the front (and it`s cooling effects) will make it
into our CWA. The NBM is showing slight cooling early next week
with an increase in rain chances.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

VFR conditions and light southeast winds continue the next 24
hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               99  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 97  73  98  73 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   97  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            95  72  97  73 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           88  68  89  69 /   0   0  10   0
Hobbs                    95  71  96  72 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    88  61  88  62 /  10   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     96  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   96  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     97  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10