Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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447
FXUS64 KMAF 040427
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1027 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1026 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Mild daytime temperatures (60s to 70s F highs) and chilly
  nighttime temperatures (40s to 50s F lows) this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1255 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Seasonable temperatures and drier weather dominates the Short Term
period of the forecast as west Texas and southeast New Mexico remain
under quasi-zonal flow aloft. Highs today top out in the upper 60s
and low-to-mid 70s for most locations. Highs warm a couple of
degrees Wednesday, but nevertheless remain right around normal for
early November (most locations end up in the 70s). Mostly clear
skies and very light winds will promote efficient radiational
cooling tonight, allowing lows Wednesday morning to fall into the
40s and low 50s areawide. Overnight minimums stay in the low-to-mid
50s for most Thursday morning, though by this time another weak
front will be approaching the area from the north. More on that in
the Long Term Discussion.

Sprang

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 1255 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

The forecast remains unchanged as zonal flow aloft is expected to
dominate the Long Term period. A weak cold front is expected to move
through the area Thursday, dropping highs 3-5 degrees for most from
the previous day. Guidance shows the front reaching the Big Bend
Region late Thursday night/early Friday morning. This may bring some
isolated to scattered showers and storms to the Big Bend Friday
night into Saturday. Otherwise, westerly flow aloft keeps the rest
of the area dry through the extended. Increasing cloud cover in
addition to surface high pressure over the Central Plains reinforces
cooler air into the region late week/this weekend, yielding highs in
the low to mid 60s for most. Long-range guidance shows an upper
ridge building over west Texas and southeast New Mexico by early
next week, indicating the potential start to a warming trend. Though
it should be noted exactly how much warming takes place is uncertain
due to large spread among the ensembles.

Greening

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1026 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours. Sfc winds will be
light/variable, but will generally veer to SE Wednesday. A few
high clouds are expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               47  72  53  68 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 46  72  51  64 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   51  74  53  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            49  76  55  72 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           45  68  49  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    45  68  50  63 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    42  73  49  71 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     48  71  53  67 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   48  71  53  67 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     47  74  52  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...99