496
FXUS64 KMAF 280435
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1135 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1134 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

- Temperatures this week will climb into the triple digits most
  locations each afternoon. Additional Heat Advisories are
  likely, as the effects of heat are cumulative, and present an
  increasing risk of heat-related illnesses.

- There will be a slight chance for rain along with a weak cold
  front this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 150 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Typical dog day summer afternoons are expected in the short term.
High pressure dominates the weather pattern bringing mostly clear
skies and temperatures in the upper 90s to lower 100s. Temps in
the Pecos River valley and mountains are enough above normal to
warrant heat advisories, but otherwise conditions are not too
atypical for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 150 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

The upper level high remains in place over the southern Plains
through the end of the week. Therefore no change is expected in
the weather with temperatures near the century mark. Thankfully
the high is centered far enough north that easterly flow dampens
the heat enough to prevent a run of truly brutal temperatures.

The pattern changes slightly by the weekend. The high amplifies
and shifts slightly back to the west allowing a trough to drop
down into the upper Midwest. This trough pushes a front south into
our CWA Saturday and long term models are showing convection
developing along the front. We will still be under the upper
influence of the high so subsidence should prevent widespread
convection, but perhaps we will see some isolated
activity...enough to break the monotony of this week. The NBM
indicates that a northeasterly wind shift will not do much if
anything to cool temperatures so we will have to see if this
changes over the several models runs.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1134 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

VFR/CAVU conditions will prevail next 24 hours, in light return
flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               75 102  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 76 105  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   75 102  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            75 102  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           72  97  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    73 103  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    67  99  65  97 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     75 101  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   75 101  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     76 104  75 101 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Tuesday for Chinati
     Mountains-Davis Mountains-Eastern Culberson-Guadalupe
     Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
     Loving-Reeves County Plains-Ward.

NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT Tuesday for Eddy County Plains-
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...99