208
FXUS64 KMAF 151136
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
636 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 621 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

- Precipitation chances gradually decrease this week and into next
  week. The best rain chances (20-50%) will be in the Davis
  Mountains. Localized flash flooding remains possible.

- A warming trend commences this week and continues into next
  week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 134 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

A much more benign pattern for the region continues today with the
bulk of the rain chances staying around the Davis Mountains. High
temperatures look to end up about the same as yesterday with most in
the upper 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows settle into the upper 60s
to low 70s for most. Rain chances fall even lower for Wednesday with
the Davis Mountains once again seeing the best(10-20%) chances for
showers and storms. High pressure builds over Texas and temperatures
warm towards normal with much of the area in the mid 90s. The Big
Bend continuing to be the hot spot with highs just over the century
mark along the Rio Grande.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 134 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Mid-level ridging from the southeastern CONUS builds into the region
throughout the Long Term Period. As a result, rain chances continue
to decrease daily from east to west. The highest rain chances (30-
50%) will be in and near the higher terrain of West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico (particularly the Davis Mountains). Meanwhile,
other portions of far West Texas and Southeast New Mexico will have
lower rain chances (10-30%), at least while they remain on the
periphery of the ridge. By the weekend and into next week, rain
chances (20-30%) become pretty much confined to the Davis Mountains
as the ridge perches itself over our area. Meanwhile, temperatures
continue to warm and dewpoints continue to decrease. By early next
week, temperatures above the century mark start to make a
reappearance across much of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.

Sprang

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 621 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

VFR continues at all terminals. Southeasterly winds around 10kts
prevail with occasional gusts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               89  72  94  73 /  10   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 93  71  97  74 /   0   0   0  10
Dryden                   91  73  96  74 /  20  10  10  10
Fort Stockton            93  72  97  74 /  10   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass           86  69  89  69 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                    89  68  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    86  64  88  66 /  30  10  50  30
Midland Intl Airport     90  72  95  74 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                   89  71  95  74 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                     92  71  97  74 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...93