168
FXUS64 KMAF 061638
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1138 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1137 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

- Temperatures remain above normal, but very gradually decrease
  this week.

- Isolated to scattered (10-40% chance) showers/storms are
  possible each day, mainly west of the Pecos River.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday afternoon)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

High pressure centered over the southern Great Plains will advect
in relatively cooler gulf air from the southeast keeping highs in
the 90s over the Labor Day weekend. Afternoon and early evening
showers and storms are expected west of the Pecos River though
coverage will probably be less than that seen the previous few
days. The best rain chances once again will be in the higher
elevations of the Davis Mountains and adjacent plains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 148 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

An elongated east/west oriented ridge stretching from the southern
plains to the eastern seaboard remains in place through the middle
of the week preventing any significant change in temperatures.
Models are indicating a trough moving across the upper Midwest
erodes the eastern portion of the ridge, reorienting it back to
the western United States. The current NBM does not show this
change affecting the sensible weather in our CWA for next weekend
though it is hard to see how lower heights and reduced subsidence
would not be favorable for at least slightly cooler temperatures.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in light return flow,
w/a few high clouds. Forecast soundings develop a widespread cu
fields this afternoon and Monday, w/bases ~ 4.5-8 kft AGL.
Convection is possible, but chances are too low for a mention any
terminal attm.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               99  73  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 97  72  97  72 /  20  10   0   0
Dryden                   97  73  97  74 /  10  10   0   0
Fort Stockton            96  71  95  71 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           88  68  87  68 /  20   0   0   0
Hobbs                    96  70  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    89  60  87  61 /  20   0  20   0
Midland Intl Airport     97  73  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   96  74  95  74 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     98  73  97  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...99