763
FXUS64 KMAF 251915
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
115 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 108 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

- Snow will come to an end this afternoon, but roads will remain
  slick and hazardous across areas where snow fell.

- Areas of freezing fog may develop across portions of southeast
  New Mexico and west Texas late tonight into Monday morning.

- Dangerous temperatures and wind chills as low as around 10 below
  zero tonight into Monday morning could result in hypothermia.
  Remember to check on family, neighbors, and the elderly, ensure
  pets and sensitive plants have a warm place, and protect pipes.

- Very cold temperatures will increase the risk of broken pipes
  and water damage as temperatures remain below freezing over much
  of the area through early Tuesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 108 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

KMAF radar imagery shows the last bands of light to moderate snow
translating over the Guadalupe Mountains, southeast New Mexico
plains, and adjacent Upper Trans Pecos/Permian Basin early this
afternoon along the base of an upper-level trough moving over our
region. The Winter Storm Warning that was in effect is no longer in
effect as of noon CST, but has been replaced with a Winter Weather
Advisory over the above mentioned locations through 3 PM CST (2 PM
MST) as the last bands of light to moderate snow move over the
region. Additional light accumulations up to around 1" will remain
possible where heavier bands fall through mid-afternoon. Roads will
remain slick and hazardous where snow accumulated as temperatures
remain well below freezing.

The trough axis will translate to the east of our region late this
afternoon into early this evening, allowing precipitation to finally
come to an end over our area. Cold surface high pressure on the
order of 1040+ mb will settle across the Texas Panhandle and South
Plains tonight, bringing another night of record breaking cold to
much of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. Overnight lows are
forecast to range from as low as -2 to 8 above across portions of
southeast New Mexico, the Van Horn Corridor/ Upper Trans Pecos,
and the Permian Basin where snow pack remains on the ground. Lows
further south will range in the teens and 20s, except for near 30
along portions of the Rio Grande. Wind chill readings will likely
range as low as -5 to -10 F over portions of southeast New Mexico
and the Permian Basin, with single digit wind chills extending
into the Trans Pecos, Van Horn Corridor, and Guadalupe/Davis
Mountains. Extreme cold products are in effect for the region
through Monday morning given these dangerously cold temperatures
and wind chills. Areas of freezing fog may develop radiational
cooling over areas with snow pack and will need to monitor
carefully for potential Freezing Fog Advisories overnight into
early Monday morning. Highs on Monday are forecast to remain below
freezing over much of the region north of I-10. Another very cold
night is anticipated Monday night with lows in the single digits
and teens over much of the region, except 20s and 30s over the far
southern portions of the CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 108 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Light northwesterly to westerly surface flow returns on Tuesday as
surface high pressure shifts to our east and lee troughing takes
shape over New Mexico. Temperatures should finally get above
freezing on Tuesday though residual snow cover could still have an
impact on highs. We currently expect highs to reach into the mid 30s
to mid 40s over much of the region, except in the 50s over southern
areas. Temperatures will remain below normal Wednesday and Thursday.
Another cold front should push through our region Thursday night,
while an associated upper-level trough brings a low chance (20%) of
light rain or light snow Friday over locations mainly along and
south of I-20. Temperatures remain below normal through the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1119 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Moderate to light snow is mainly coming to an end across most
terminals. This trend is going to continue which will increase
VIS and CIGs back to VFR by late this afternoon into the early
evening. Northerly winds are forecast to shift to light
southerly/variable winds after sunset. There is increasing
confidence in freezing fog developing across most terminals
overnight tonight into tomorrow morning. Uncertainty exists in
when the dense fog begins to develop. The fog is expected to bring
CIGs and VIS down to IFR/LIFR conditions. Timing of this will be
refined in the next TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                3  28  10  42 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                  5  27   8  36 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   15  40  20  50 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            13  34  17  46 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           12  31  19  35 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                     2  27   8  41 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    17  42  18  54 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport      6  28  14  43 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                    7  28  14  42 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                     10  30  14  40 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST /11 AM MST/ Monday for
     Andrews-Borden-Crane-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-
     Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
     Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-
     Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Ward-
     Winkler.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ this afternoon
     for Andrews-Borden-Crane-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-
     Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Howard-
     Loving-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-
     Scurry-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

     Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST Monday for Central Brewster-
     Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis
     Mountains Foothills-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-
     Presidio Valley-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

NM...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM MST Monday for Central Lea-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea-Southern Lea.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM MST this afternoon for
     Central Lea-Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy
     County-Northern Lea-Southern Lea.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...11