270
FXUS64 KMAF 260645
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1245 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1236 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

- Areas of freezing fog have developed across portions of
  southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin bringing visibilities
  near 1/4 mile and a glaze of ice on roads and exposed surfaces.

- Dangerous temperatures and wind chills as low as around 10 below
  zero through this morning could result in hypothermia. Remember
  to check on family, neighbors, and the elderly, ensure pets and
  sensitive plants have a warm place, and protect pipes.

- Very cold temperatures will increase the risk of broken pipes
  and water damage as temperatures remain below freezing over much
  of the area through early Tuesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Brrrr!  Light/variable winds, clearing skies, and a snow/ice pack
this morning are resulting in the coldest temperatures yet this
winter, ranging from a couple of degrees below 0 F on the northern
fringes of the CWA, to around freezing in the Presidio Valley. At
06Z, the record low of 15 F has already been shattered for Midland
International Air and Space Port.  Extreme Cold products cover this
through the morning hours. This has also resulted in the development
of freezing fog in places.

Today, a gradual, slow warmup begins under northwest-to-zonal flow
aloft.  NBM has been too quick to warm us up the past couple of
days, as it is wont to do, and with the snow/ice pack, looks a
little too warm for today, as well.  We`ve lowered highs a couple of
degrees.  That said, in general, areas north of I-10 will remain
below freezing, and areas south above.  Even w/freezing temperatures
north of I-10, insulation will reduce the snow/ice pack somewhat,
mainly through sublimation.

Tonight, light return flow resumes under increasing high clouds.
Dewpoints should increase a little in the boundary layer as a
result.  This will add ~ 6-8 F to this morning`s lows.  An Extreme
Cold Advisory may be needed again for a select few locations in the
north, but this will largely depend on the extent of the snow/ice
pack by sundown this evening.

Tuesday, surface winds will be out of the southwest under clearing
skies.  This will result in downright balmy weather compared to the
last few days.  Highs will generally range from the upper 30s and
40s in the north to the 60s in the Presidio Valley, averaging less
than 15 F below normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 1236 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Chilly conditions return Wednesday morning with a few locations
still seeing leftover snow on the ground. Will keep temperatures
under guidance once again with lows mostly in the teens. Highs
rebound into the 40s/50s by afternoon with the help of downslope
flow, but clouds will limit better warming. A shortwave passes to
our north Thursday shoving a weak cold front into the region. This
will continue to keep temperatures below normal although still much
warmer than we are now. A stronger, backdoor front is expected to
arrive Friday bringing another round of chilly conditions just in
time for the weekend (sorry). This system does look dry for now so
we have that going for us!

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 947 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Skies have scattered out to VFR everywhere but the mountains, but
w/a snowpack on the ground not going anywhere, FZFG is still
expected to develop overnight. LIFR vsbys, and possibly cigs,
will be possible overnight/Monday morning most terminals,
diminishing by late morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               28  11  44  13 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 28   9  37  13 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   43  21  54  26 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            33  18  49  23 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           28  19  37  24 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    30   9  44  12 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    43  20  55  22 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     28  14  45  18 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   28  15  45  18 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     31  15  43  16 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today for
     Andrews-Borden-Crane-Dawson-Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-
     Glasscock-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
     Delaware Mountains-Howard-Loving-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-
     Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Ward-
     Winkler.

     Freezing Fog Advisory until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today for
     Andrews-Borden-Crane-Davis Mountains Foothills-Dawson-
     Eastern Culberson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Guadalupe
     Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
     Howard-Loving-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Reagan-Reeves County
     Plains-Scurry-Upton-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-
     Winkler.

     Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST today for Central Brewster-
     Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis Mountains-Davis
     Mountains Foothills-Lower Brewster County-Marfa Plateau-
     Presidio Valley-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

NM...Extreme Cold Warning until 11 AM MST Monday for Central Lea-Eddy
     County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Northern
     Lea-Southern Lea.

     Freezing Fog Advisory until 11 AM MST Monday for Central Lea-
     Eddy County Plains-Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
     Northern Lea-Southern Lea.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29