Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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808
FXUS64 KMAF 191900
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
200 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 200 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

- Hot and mostly dry conditions persist through at least early
  next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday night)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Water vapor imagery shows the upper-level ridge of high pressure
extending from the southern California coast to west Texas. This
will provide large-scale sinking motion across the region, yielding
dry conditions and widespread afternoon highs in the lower triple
digits today/tomorrow. The remainder of the area can expect to see
temperature maximums in the mid-to-upper 90s. Rain chances are near
zero during the Short Term period due to a lack of moisture and
sources of lift.

Greening

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Late this week and into the weekend, an upper level ridge becomes
amplified and eventually spans over the western and central CONUS.
The ridge itself becomes centered near the southern Great Plains
early next week. Meanwhile, an upper trough digs into the eastern
CONUS. With ridging remaining our dominant weather maker, hot and
dry conditions persist through the Long Term period. Each afternoon
looks to feature highs ranging in the 90s to beyond the century
mark, with only small day-to-day variation. The hottest conditions
can be expected along the Rio Grande in the Big Bend, where highs
are forecast to range between 105-110 degrees most afternoons.
Despite the heat, highs largely look to avoid advisory criteria,
with only a few isolated locations warming to criteria levels.
Overnight lows are forecast to fall to the 60s in and near the
higher terrain, and the 70s everywhere else. Large-scale subsidence
keeps rain chances through the extended forecast slim to none.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals the next 24 hours.
Southeasterly to southerly winds of 10 kts or less are expected
through the period. Occasional gusts up to around 20 kts are
possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               75 102  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 73 102  73 101 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   75 102  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            73 100  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           70  93  70  92 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    71 101  71 100 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    63  96  63  94 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     75 100  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   75 100  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     75 102  75 101 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...55