Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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588
FXUS64 KMAF 221723
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1223 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1223 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

- Hot temperatures are forecast today onward, with increasing
  coverage of triple digit highs. Persistent heat will present an
  increasing risk of heat-related illnesses.

- Low (<20%) rain chances become confined to the higher terrain.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

The heat continues to be turned up over the area today with the
Permian Basin and SE New Mexico reaching into the low 100s this
afternoon. Temperatures near 110F will be seen across the low desert
of Big Bend. Overnight lows only dip into the mid to upper 70s for
THursday morning with 60s across the higher elevations. Thursday
afternoon sees temperatures another degree or two higher compared to
today where a few spots look to reach 105F+. Heat advisories may be
needed across a few counties. Rain chances will be near zero for the
short term forecast.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

The center of an upper ridge glides over our region Thursday
evening, headed toward the Four Corners. Ridging shall overspread
much of the western US and Great Plains through early next week,
leading to hot and mostly dry conditions. Except for highs in the
90s in/near the higher terrain and portions of the Lower Trans
Pecos, triple digit heat is expected across most of the region
through the period. Readings up to 105 degrees are forecast over
portions of the northern Permian Basin and areas along the Pecos
River most afternoons. However, the hottest conditions are
expected along the Rio Grande, especially within the Big Bend,
where highs may reach up to 115 degrees. Temperatures most nights
are progged to cool to the mid to upper 70s. Given several days
of very hot conditions, it`s important to practice heat safety.
Take breaks when needed, stay hydrated, and limit time outdoors
during the hottest parts of the day. In stark contrast to last
week, low (<20%) chances of isolated shower/storm activity remains
confined to areas in the vicinity of the higher terrain during
the Long Term period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

VFR and light winds expected the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring              103  77 104  78 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                101  75 103  77 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                  102  77 103  78 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton           100  75 101  77 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           92  70  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                   101  73 102  75 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    93  63  94  66 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport    101  77 102  78 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                  101  77 102  78 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                    103  76 103  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Thursday for Borden-Howard-
     Mitchell-Scurry.

NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...10