077
FXUS64 KMAF 161727
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1227 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

- Hot temperatures can be expected through the middle of the week.
  The hottest conditions are forecast for Tuesday, accompanied by
  breezy winds. Many locations will reach near or above 100
  degrees during this time, with a few locations along the Rio
  Grande potentially reaching up to 108-113 degrees today through
  Wednesday.

- Near normal temperatures return beginning Thursday and
  continuing through next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

The short term forecast remains on track. Upper level ridging is
centered over southern New Mexico and will bring temperatures up a
few degrees over yesterday. Most locations will reach into the upper
90s to low 100s with areas along the Rio Grande reaching near 110F.
The ridge broadens overnight and temperatures will be well above
normal for Tuesday with many locations reaching above 100F. Even in
the mountains, temperatures will reach into the upper 90s.
Widespread Heat Advisories will be needed for much of the CWA. With
the ridge nearly overhead, rain chances will be quite low in the
short term with some shower activity possible in the Davis Mountains
and areas to the south.

-Stickney

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Much like the short term, little change to the forecast in the
extended. By Wednesday, an upper level ridge begins to break down
and temperatures begin to trend downward. Wednesday`s highs will
still be above normal, but drop further towards normal for the end
of this week. Long range guidance continues to keep lower heights
over the area indicating near to almost below normal temperatures
for the region. However, rain chances will continue to remain
low(10-20%) for the next several days.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

VFR conditions and southeasterly to southerly winds will prevail through
the period. Winds begin to increase this afternoon across most
terminals. A low-level jet develops early this evening further
increasing the winds through tomorrow morning. Occasional gusts of
25-30 kts are expected during this timeframe especially at MAF,
HOB, INK, and FST terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               75 102  74 101 /   0   0  10   0
Carlsbad                 73 108  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   74 104  77 103 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            75 105  76 102 /   0   0  10   0
Guadalupe Pass           73 100  71  94 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    73 105  68  98 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                    65  98  66  97 /   0   0  10  10
Midland Intl Airport     76 105  75 103 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                   75 104  75 102 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                     75 109  73 103 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...11