223
FXUS64 KMAF 081705
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1205 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1203 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

- Very warm to hot temperatures through late this week.

- A slight cooling trend with some increase in daytime shower/storm
  chances forecast late weekend through early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 138 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Temperatures are back on the rise and will remain in the 90s to
low 100s the next couple of days. Upper high pressure remains
stationary from northern New Mexico to the eastern seaboard
keeping temperatures from fluctuating. Limited moisture also
allows for only isolated afternoon and early evening showers and
storms in the Davis Mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 138 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Temperatures remain above normal through the end of the week,
perhaps ticking up a couple of more degrees expanding triple digit
heat to much of the Permian Basin by Saturday. Models are backing
off on a cold front that earlier had been depicted as reaching the
basin. It now appears the front will stall to the north of the
area, but the associated upper trough should erode the southern
plains high enough to allow for slightly cooler temperatures by
early next week. The high pressure center shifts from our west
late in the week, to the east early next week allowing for cooler
gulf air to advect into West Texas and eastern New Mexico.
Greater moisture could also allow for better rain chances next
week and the NBM is showing slight chance to low chance (20-40%)
PoPs. The lack of any upper support prevents rain chances from
getting any better.

Hennig

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 PM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

VFR conditions outside of a very low chance (less than 10%) of
storms at terminals. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 15 to
25 mph at times this afternoon through early tonight, before
decreasing again by Wednesday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               75 100  75  99 /   0   0  10   0
Carlsbad                 73 100  73  99 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                   75 100  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            73  98  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           69  90  69  89 /   0  10  10  20
Hobbs                    71  97  71  96 /   0   0  10  10
Marfa                    63  90  63  89 /   0  20  10  30
Midland Intl Airport     75  98  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   75  98  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     75 100  74  99 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...94