Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
174
FNUS54 KMAF 161835
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
135 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Min RH stays above critical 15% with good to excellent recovery,
along with 20-ft winds largely remaining below 20 mph. This will
offset continued warm temperatures, fuel ERCs in the 50th to 74th
percentile, and isolated daytime storms over western higher
terrain that pose a low risk for fire starts from lightning and
strong, erratic winds. Warm and dry weather through the end of the
week limits fire risk further. Then, cooler weather and increased
chance of wetting rains by Sunday through next week keep fire
weather conditions out of the forecast.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-170915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1235 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 0 50
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-3) 86 (+3) 60 88
RH % (24h trend) 83 (-4) 32 (-10) 78 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 10 SE 8 SE 11 S 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 9 SE 12 SE 8 S 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 23 30 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6400 6460
Transport Wnd (kts) S 17 SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 108800 109820
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms and a slight
chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ117-170915-
Chaves Plains-
1235 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 30
Temp (24h trend) 63 (-2) 92 (+2) 64 94
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-11) 27 (-7) 76 28
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 10 SE 9 S 11 S 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8 S 14 S 7 S 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 29 24 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7770 7880
Transport Wnd (kts) S 16 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 124320 126080
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ118-170915-
Eddy Plains-
1235 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (-2) 95 (+2) 67 97
RH % (24h trend) 72 (-6) 27 (-5) 74 26
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 11 SE 9 SE 11 SE 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9 SE 12 SE 7 SE 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 26 23 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7430 8230
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 15 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 111450 131680
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ119-170915-
Lea-
1235 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 64 (-3) 93 (0) 64 94
RH % (24h trend) 79 (-12) 26 (-1) 83 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 13 SE 11 SE 11 SE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8 SE 14 SE 7 S 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 28 27 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8390 8410
Transport Wnd (kts) S 16 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 134240 142970
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-170915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
135 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026 /1235 PM MDT Wed Sep 16 2026/
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-4) 88 (+5) 61 89
RH % (24h trend) 75 (-4) 29 (-11) 77 30
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 19 E 13 E 17 SE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 16 E 14 E 15 S 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 13 25 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7200 8180
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 18 S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 129600 196320
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-170915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
135 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (-6) 96 (+3) 62 96
RH % (24h trend) 79 (+8) 25 (-2) 87 26
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 14 E 8 E 11 SE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 9 E 9 E 7 SE 7
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 24 22 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7840 8030
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 14 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 109760 128480
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-170915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
135 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-4) 98 (+1) 68 98
RH % (24h trend) 82 (+9) 27 (+2) 86 28
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 13 SE 11 SE 10 SE 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 8 SE 11 SE 8 SE 9
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 26 25 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8170 7870
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 15 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 122550 125920
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$