Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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548
FNUS54 KMAF 211915
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
215 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

.DISCUSSION...

The forecast remains unchanged as low fire weather concerns
persist. Min RHs will stay above critical thresholds (>15%) with
good to excellent recovery through the next several days while
20-ft winds largely remaining below 20 mph. Fuel ERCs in the 50th
to 74th percentile and isolated to scattered afternoon and
evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front moving into
the region will pose a low risk for fire starts from lightning
and strong and gusty/erratic winds today through Tuesday. Cooler
weather and higher chances of wetting rains through the middle to
latter part of the week will keep fire weather concerns low.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.


NMZ116-220915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
115 PM MDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     10           40           80           90
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-1)      80 (-5)      58           71
RH % (24h trend)      88 (+41)     41 (+23)     100          68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  6         E  5         SE 12        SE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  6         SE 12        SE  8        S 12
Wind 10000 FT MSL     17           20           37           33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4850                      2610
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 15                     SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  72750                     41760
Vent Category                      Good                      Fair
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ117-220915-
Chaves Plains-
115 PM MDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     10           40           80           90
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+2)      86 (-5)      60           79
RH % (24h trend)      90 (+31)     40 (+22)     99           57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  8         E  6         SE 11        SE  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  7         SE 10        SE  6        S 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL     11           21           35           41
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5460                      4370
Transport Wnd (kts)                SE 13                     SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  70980                     78660
Vent Category                      Good                      Good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ118-220915-
Eddy Plains-
115 PM MDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           60           80
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+1)      89 (-4)      63           83
RH % (24h trend)      83 (+28)     39 (+20)     95           54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  8         E  7         SE 14        SE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  7         SE 13        SE  8        SE 16
Wind 10000 FT MSL     19           19           38           40
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5530                      4880
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 16                      SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  88480                     87840
Vent Category                      Good                      Good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ119-220915-
Lea-
115 PM MDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     10           30           50           70
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-2)      86 (-4)      61           83
RH % (24h trend)      95 (+20)     45 (+20)     99           46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 10         E  7         E 13         SE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  7         E 12         E  8         SE 16
Wind 10000 FT MSL     18           17           33           37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5250                      6380
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 14                      SE 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  73500                     121220
Vent Category                      Good                      Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ270-271-220915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
215 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026 /115 PM MDT Mon Sep 21 2026/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           60           90
Temp (24h trend)      59 (-3)      82 (-2)      57           74
RH % (24h trend)      88 (+38)     41 (+21)     96           61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  7         E 11         E 16         E 16
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 10         E 15         E 17         SE 10
Wind 10000 FT MSL     16           22           38           27
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5430                      2820
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 19                      SE 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  103170                    53580
Vent Category                      Very good                 Fair
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ272-273-275>282-220915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
215 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           10           50
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-4)      91 (0)       61           88
RH % (24h trend)      89 (+16)     31 (+7)      92           37
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  9         E  7         E 15         SE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  8         E 14         E 12         SE 13
Wind 10000 FT MSL     18           22           38           31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6930                      5910
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 19                      SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  131670                    100470
Vent Category                      Very good                 Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-220915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
215 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           30           20           10
Temp (24h trend)      66 (-3)      91 (-2)      66           90
RH % (24h trend)      87 (+10)     38 (+8)      90           38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  7         E  6         E 10         SE  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  5         E 10         E  7         SE 14
Wind 10000 FT MSL     18           24           34           33
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5670                      7180
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 16                      SE 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  90720                     136420
Vent Category                      Good                      Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$