Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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996
ACUS11 KWNS 170226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170225
NEZ000-KSZ000-170400-
Mesoscale Discussion 1323
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0925 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
Areas affected...Parts of south-central Nebraska into north-central
Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 424...
Valid 170225Z - 170400Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 424
continues.
SUMMARY...Scattered severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) is becoming the
primary concern in Severe Thunderstorm Watch 424.
DISCUSSION...An east/west-oriented convective line has become
increasingly organized across parts of central NE as it moves slowly
southward. Meanwhile, additional storms are evolving
east-northeastward toward the evolving MCS from southwest NE and
northwest KS. While the overall convective evolution is unclear,
very steep deep-layer lapse rates and related strong surface-based
instability (sampled by the 00Z DDC sounding), coupled with a 35-kt
southerly low-level jet (per regional VWP), should favor scattered
severe wind gusts (some 75+ mph) as storms continue drifting
southward and begin merging.
..Weinman.. 06/17/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 41179991 41349890 41359793 41069705 40669687 40169711
39909820 39670035 39810085 40110123 40380124 40710101
41179991
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN