980
ACUS11 KWNS 081209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081209
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-081415-

Mesoscale Discussion 1026
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0709 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...southwest
Missouri...northwest Arkansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286...

Valid 081209Z - 081415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds and perhaps a tornado remain possible with
a small MCS moving generally southward this morning. A local
extension of the watch is possible, but expected limited/slow
destabilization downstream of this activity gives low confidence in
the need for an additional watch this morning.

DISCUSSION...As cold pools have congealed this morning, a small MCS
formed and has been slowly moving southward over the last 1-2 hours.
Some continued southward movement (with perhaps some westerly
component  into the large MUCAPE reservoir in OK) can be expected
over the next couple of hours. A more north-south oriented portion
of the line south of Springfield, MO, will likely continue east.
Damaging winds remain the greatest threat, though a tornado is still
possible. The tornado threat will be greatest with the north-south
portion of the system given the more favorable, orthogonal low-level
shear vector. It is unclear how long this activity will last as the
low-level jet will gradually decrease and visible satellite shows a
low-level cloud deck. Trends will be monitored and a local extension
of the watch is possible, but an additional watch is not currently
expected.

..Wendt.. 06/08/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON   36319585 37219559 37299528 37069470 37009423 37049377
            37269327 37189289 36559273 35569335 35269436 35579529
            36319585

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH