965
ACUS11 KWNS 272307
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272307
WIZ000-280030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0881
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0607 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026

Areas affected...portions of central Wisconsin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 272307Z - 280030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...The severe risk associated with an ongoing multicell
cluster across central Wisconsin should gradually decrease over the
next 1-2 hours. Isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts remain
possible in the meantime, however.

DISCUSSION...A multicell cluster with a embedded supercell
structures continues to track southward along and west of the I-39
corridor in central Wisconsin having produced several reports of
hail up to 2" in diameter and damaging wind gusts in the Wausau,
Wisconsin, vicinity over the past 1-2 hours. Expectation is for this
cluster to persist for another hour or two as it propagates
southward along an east-west oriented cold front and to the west of
a weak, north-south oriented lake breeze. Latest objective analysis
indicates that available buoyancy generally decreases with southward
extent. Coupled with the gradual onset of nocturnal low-level
cooling/stabilization, this should yield a gradual weakening of this
cluster with time. Modestly steep mid-level lapse rates and around
30 kts of effective shear amid moderately strong northwesterly flow
aloft (as sampled by the GRB VWP) will continue to promote a risk
for large hail with the strongest updrafts in the meantime, however.
Steep low-level lapse rates west of the lake breeze boundary will
also support a continued threat for isolated damaging wind gusts.

..Chalmers/Guyer.. 05/27/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   43228974 43479027 43929079 44389109 44699122 44859120
            44969112 44859060 44799038 44718998 44558952 44438942
            43948939 43578936 43268937 43188967 43228974

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN