595
ACUS11 KWNS 231855
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231855
OKZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-240000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0034
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Areas affected...west to north TX and southern OK

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation

Valid 231855Z - 240000Z

SUMMARY...A plume of mixed precipitation is expected to
substantially increase into early evening from west to north Texas
into southern Oklahoma. Sleet should be the primary precipitation
type, with the freezing rain line gradually shifting south. Initial
rates should generally be light, before increasing tonight.

DISCUSSION...Initial swath of precipitation has been increasing over
the past few hours across the South Plains to central TX. The
northern extent of this precip shield is about to overspread a
southward-moving nose of sub-freezing surface temperatures across
the Low Rolling Plains, centered on the surface ridge over northwest
TX. This should initially impact areas near to southeast of LBB, but
will increase greatly in areal coverage by late afternoon into early
evening. Light freezing rain should be anticipated where surface
temps remain in the 29-32 F range. Sleet should be the overarching
PTYPE through 00Z as low-level warm theta-e advection in the 850-700
mb layer maintains an above-freezing warm nose atop the increasingly
cold boundary layer. Pervasive surface dry advection will slow the
northern extent of winter precip reaching the surface, especially in
OK, through early evening. This should also aid in yielding
generally light liquid-equivalent rates until tonight.

..Grams.. 01/23/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON   32100095 32060243 32580359 33040380 33540343 34530026
            34909770 34659610 34229569 33839585 33669688 32479983
            32100095