Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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ACUS11 KWNS 170001
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170000
MIZ000-170100-
Mesoscale Discussion 1696
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0700 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Areas affected...portions of central/northern Michigan
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 170000Z - 170100Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Storms moving east may pose a risk for strong to severe
wind through the evening.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues across Lake Michigan
and portions of northern/central Michigan. Overall, this activity is
remaining below severe limits. CAM guidance suggest that some
re-intensification could occur as they move inland over the next
couple of hours. The air mass across Michigan remains favorably
unstable, with sufficient deep layer shear for organization around
30-40 kts. It is uncertain if storms will pose a more organized
severe threat moving inland. Trends will be monitored across this
region but a watch is unlikely to be needed.
..Thornton/Hart.. 07/17/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...
LAT...LON 43708651 44228640 44848595 45348546 45688465 45508388
45128355 44558356 44018352 43408406 43118468 42938605
43708651
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH