Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 222337
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222337
VAZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-230100-
Mesoscale Discussion 2095
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026
Areas affected...Portions of eastern KY...far western VA...and
eastern TN
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616...
Valid 222337Z - 230100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616
continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail may
spread east of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 616 this evening, though a
downstream watch is not expected.
DISCUSSION...Along an eastward-moving cold front, two clusters of
loosely organized thunderstorms in Middle TN and eastern KY are
tracking east-southeastward toward the eastern edge of Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 616 this evening. Around 30-40 kt of midlevel
west-northwesterly flow (per JKL/OHX VWPs) oriented perpendicular to
the front will aid in the maintenance of these storms for the next
hour or so -- before reaching the higher terrain. This will
especially be the case into eastern TN -- where lower/middle 80s
temperatures and upper 60s dewpoints remain in place. As a result,
the risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail may spread east of
the watch. However, given the localized nature of the ongoing severe
risk, a downstream watch is not expected.
..Weinman.. 08/22/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...OHX...
LAT...LON 36108557 36278521 36698420 37368336 37718261 37788245
37728207 37498184 37088184 36478219 35828309 35298452
35308514 35518552 35808569 36108557
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN