Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
248 FXUS64 KMEG 080416 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1116 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1036 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025 - Pleasant and unseasonably cool temperatures will continue into Monday, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and lows in the 50s. - Hot and dry conditions will return by midweek with temperatures climbing back into the 90s, likely worsening ongoing drought conditions. && .DISCUSSION... (Tonight through next Sunday) Issued at 1036 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025 Cool and dry conditions will persist on Monday as surface high pressure continues to build into the Mid-South. Afternoon highs will be a few degrees below normal, in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Unfortunately, pleasant temperatures will not stick around for long as an Omega block forms by midweek. The center of a 593 dam ridge will shift east on Wednesday, allowing WAA into the Mid- South. Temperatures will warm each day with highs on Friday in the mid 90s. While temperatures will be hot, this heat wave will not be oppressive. Daily lows in the 60s and dewpoints in the upper 50s will keep heat indices well below heat headline threshold. As for precipitation, the upcoming work week will be dry. Current areas of D1 moderate drought may worsen to D2 severe drought by the end of the week. ANS && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025 VFR. Light NE winds generally 5-9 kts. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1036 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025 Increased fire danger will exist this week as prolonged dry conditions lower fuel moisture. In addition, MinRH values will remain in the 30 to 40 percent range. Luckily, light 20ft winds should hamper wildfire spread, but any vegetation that does ignite will have plenty of dry fuels to work with. ANS && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS AVIATION...SJM