Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
090
FNUS54 KMEG 010830
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions will persist across the Mid-South through
Thursday, with minimum relative humidity values slightly higher
in the 40 to 50% range Thursday afternoon. Additional moisture
will return to the region on Friday through the upcoming weekend,
with a medium to high chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler
and drier air will follow for early next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-012100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 50 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.48
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 9
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 93 (0) 69 (0) 77
RH % (24h trend) 41 (0) 100 (+26) 87
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 G18 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10 G18 S 5 N 7 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2100 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6800 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2100 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7000 2200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 16800 3500
Category Day 5 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 85 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 10 N 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 23 N 16
Dispersion Index 56 14 23
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-012100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 30 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.34
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 8
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 95 (+1) 71 (+1) 85
RH % (24h trend) 40 (0) 100 (+19) 76
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7 S 4 N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6700 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2100 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6900 2500
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 N 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 16800 3200
Category Day 5 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 9 NW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 20 NW 13
Dispersion Index 52 13 19
Stability Class C E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-012100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20 80
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.45
Precip Duration (hrs) 9
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+1) 69 (+3) 77
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+5) 100 (+25) 85
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G17 S 5 NW 5 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6500 1700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2100 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6900 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 N 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 16800 3000
Category Day 5 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84 76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 10 NW 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 22 NW 17
Dispersion Index 55 11 20
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows around 60.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-012100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 80
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.27
Precip Duration (hrs) 9
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 92 (0) 70 (+5) 83
RH % (24h trend) 41 (+3) 100 (+20) 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G17 S 5 NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6500 2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2100 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6900 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 16800 4000
Category Day 5 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 9 W 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 20 W 16
Dispersion Index 53 14 23
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-012100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 70
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.18
Precip Duration (hrs) 3
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 94 (0) 71 (+3) 89
RH % (24h trend) 43 (+5) 100 (+10) 64
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 SE 5 NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6200 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6500 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 W 3
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 W 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 14000 3600
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 SW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 16 SW 10
Dispersion Index 48 17 19
Stability Class C E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-012100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Precip Chance (%) 50
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration (hrs) 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+1) 69 (+5) 91
RH % (24h trend) 44 (+10) 100 (+11) 56
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 SE 5 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5800 4800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6200 5200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 13300 4800
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 SW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 16 SW 9
Dispersion Index 46 10 23
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$