Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
964
FNUS54 KMEG 200931
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances return on Thursday and will persist through
the end of the week. MinRH values will remain above 50% for the
foreseeable future with additional rain chances returning next
week. Fire weather concerns remain low.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-202200-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 90 80 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.55 0.20 0.11
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 8 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+9) 59 (+5) 73
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+1) 100 (0) 77
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 S 8
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SW 9 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 200 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 700 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 300 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1000 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) NE 4 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 8 SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s) 1200 6300
Category Day 1 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 4 SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 8 SW 24
Dispersion Index 11 10 42
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 1 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
63 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-202200-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.43 0.12 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 8 3 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+3) 63 (+2) 76
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-2) 100 (0) 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1600 2500
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s) 2500 7200
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 22
Dispersion Index 18 13 43
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-202200-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 90 80 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.69 0.18 0.17
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 7 11
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+5) 59 (+6) 72
RH % (24h trend) 86 (-1) 100 (0) 79
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SW 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 100 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 500 1600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 300 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 900 2000
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 4 SW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) E 8 SW 21
Vent Index (m2/s) 1200 5400
Category Day 1 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 4 SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 8 SW 24
Dispersion Index 10 8 41
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 1 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-202200-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 80 60 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.48 0.17 0.13
Precip Duration (hrs) 7 3 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 73 (+1) 59 (+1) 73
RH % (24h trend) 81 (+8) 100 (0) 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 300 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1000 1600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 400 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1400 2000
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 2000 4800
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71 68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 13 SW 23
Dispersion Index 18 10 38
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-202200-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 50 40 70
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.29 0.08 0.12
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 1 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 80 (+1) 62 (-2) 76
RH % (24h trend) 65 (-8) 100 (0) 78
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 S 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1700 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1900 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 3000 4800
Category Day 2 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 14 SW 20
Dispersion Index 23 12 35
Stability Class C D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-202200-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 50
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 70
Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.21 0.04 0.20
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 1 9
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+3) 59 (-2) 74
RH % (24h trend) 61 (-12) 100 (0) 75
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var S 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1800 1300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2200 1800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 3500 3500
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71 68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 20
Dispersion Index 23 10 30
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum
RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$