Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
097
FNUS54 KMEG 160831
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Minimal fire danger is anticipated through the forecast period as
MinRH remains above 30 percent and 20ft winds stay below 10 mph.
Wetting rains return Saturday.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 85 (+3) 59 (+1) 85
RH % (24h trend) 42 (+2) 87 (-5) 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 8 E 5 S 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4000 3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4200 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 SW 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 7800 4400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 7 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 15 S 11
Dispersion Index 39 12 17
Stability Class B E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+5) 61 (+4) 88
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-5) 90 (-4) 36
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4200 5300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4400 5500
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 12 S 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 6500 6800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 6 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 14 S 12
Dispersion Index 29 11 18
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 46 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-162100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+3) 54 (-2) 84
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-2) 85 (-7) 42
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 E 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3500 3200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3900 3600
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 13 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 3300
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 7 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 15 S 10
Dispersion Index 36 10 16
Stability Class B F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-162100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+2) 56 (+1) 85
RH % (24h trend) 42 (+1) 88 (-4) 42
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 E 4 S 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3600 3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4000 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 13 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 3900
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 7 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 16 S 11
Dispersion Index 35 10 16
Stability Class B F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+3) 60 (+4) 89
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-3) 89 (-3) 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4400 5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4600 5400
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 SW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 10 SW 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 7000 6400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 5 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 12 S 11
Dispersion Index 24 10 20
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 86 (+3) 57 (+3) 87
RH % (24h trend) 36 (-4) 89 (-2) 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4000 4200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1300 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4400 4600
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 5 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) E 10 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 6500 4200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 6 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 13 S 11
Dispersion Index 29 9 20
Stability Class B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$