Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
532
FNUS54 KMEG 192109
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level ridge centered over the Southern Plains and
Lower Mississippi Valley will continue to bring hot and mainly
dry weather through the weekend. 20 foot winds are expected to
remain light under 10 kts while minimum relative humidity values
this afternoon and Sunday will drop to around 30 percent
mitigating critical fire weather conditions. Fog potential
remains low across the region, restricted mainly to brief, patchy
morning fog along low-lying river basins.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-200915-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type None None None Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 72 96
RH % (24h trend) 79 (-8) 31 (+2) 87 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2500 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8100 6400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2500 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 8300 6700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 NW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 NW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 12500 6000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 91 89
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 4 N 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 8 N 9
Dispersion Index 7 36 7 22
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-200915-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 73 (+1) 101 (+1) 73 101
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-5) 30 (0) 80 34
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2500 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8300 8500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2600 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 8500 8700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 4 W 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 9 W 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 10400 10400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 91 92
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 4 NW 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 9 NW 6
Dispersion Index 7 30 6 25
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-200915-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 71 97
RH % (24h trend) 83 (-12) 32 (0) 86 39
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2300 2000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7500 6500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2400 2100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7900 6900
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 5 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 NW 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 8400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 91 89
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 4 NW 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 9 NW 7
Dispersion Index 6 36 6 22
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-200915-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+2) 99 (0) 72 98
RH % (24h trend) 85 (-10) 32 (-1) 85 36
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2400 2500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7900 8300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2500 2700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 8300 8700
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 4 W 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 9 W 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 10800
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 91 91
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 4 W 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 8 W 7
Dispersion Index 6 27 6 25
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-200915-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%)
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 73 (+2) 101 (+1) 73 100
RH % (24h trend) 82 (-10) 33 (-1) 84 36
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2500 2800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8300 9100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2600 2800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 8500 9300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 3 W 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 7 W 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 7800 8400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 92 93
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 3 NW 2
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 8 NW 5
Dispersion Index 7 23 6 21
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-200915-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
409 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+1) 98 (-1) 72 98
RH % (24h trend) 91 (-5) 34 (-1) 92 35
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2300 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7400 8600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2400 2700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 7800 9000
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 3 W 3
Transport Wnd (mph) W 6 W 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 8100
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 91 91
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NW 3 SW 2
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NW 8 SW 5
Dispersion Index 5 17 6 17
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$