Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
669
FNUS54 KMEG 012031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Moisture will continue to increase across the region. Dry
conditions will come to an end tomorrow with showers and
thunderstorms continuing through the weekend. Min RH`s will be in
the 40s tomorrow, and trend higher through the weekend. There is
a high confidence of wetting rain area wide with totals expected
between two-thirds and 1.5 inches tomorrow through the weekend.
Cooler and drier air will follow for early next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-020900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 80 40 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Showers
Precip Amount 0.13 0.46 0.08 0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 8 1 1
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-1) 77 (-16) 59 73
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+21) 92 (+49) 100 76
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 8
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 N 7 G17 NE 9 G17 NE 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1700 2200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1900 2400
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 4 NE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) N 8 NE 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 2400 3500
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 6 NE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 12 NE 16
Dispersion Index 16 15 28 21
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 1 2 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-020900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 70 40 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Showers
Precip Amount 0.06 0.25 0.15 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 5 2 2
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 71 (-1) 85 (-9) 63 80
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+17) 76 (+33) 100 76
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var NE 6 NE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2300 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2500 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 3 NE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) W 7 NE 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 2400 3000
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 NE 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 11 NE 14
Dispersion Index 13 16 20 21
Stability Class E B D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-020900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 90 50 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.35 0.27 0.03
Precip Duration (hrs) 7 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+3) 78 (-14) 61 74
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+24) 86 (+41) 100 81
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 N 4 N 6 NE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2000 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 2400
Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 4 NE 4
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 NE 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 2800 2800
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 6 NE 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 14 NE 9
Dispersion Index 11 18 18 16
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-020900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 70 50 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.21 0.15 0.03
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+2) 84 (-8) 64 77
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+20) 75 (+29) 100 81
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 NW 4 N 4 NE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3100 2200
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 4 NE 4
Transport Wnd (mph) W 8 NE 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 4000 2800
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 NE 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 11 NE 8
Dispersion Index 15 21 12 15
Stability Class E C D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-020900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 50 30 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 50 30 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.05 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 2
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 71 (0) 89 (-4) 66 85
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+14) 65 (+17) 100 75
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3600 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3900 2900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 3 NE 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 6 NE 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 3600 2700
Category Day 2 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 4 NE 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 8 NE 7
Dispersion Index 18 19 13 18
Stability Class E B E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-020900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 30 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 69 (+3) 91 (-1) 67 88
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+12) 57 (+9) 100 67
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4100 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4500 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 3 SE 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 7 SE 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 3000
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 4 SE 2
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 8 SE 5
Dispersion Index 10 20 5 14
Stability Class F B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$