Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
946
FNUS54 KMEG 050831
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
No major fire weather concerns for the foreseeable future. MinRH
values are expected to remain above 40% on Sunday across the area,
with rain chances increasing across the Mid-South Monday through
Wednesday.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-052100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20 60
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.45
Precip Duration (hrs) 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+5) 66 (+7) 80
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+1) 99 (+10) 73
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 E 5 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5900 1600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6100 1800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 SE 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 SE 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 11400 3000
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 6 SE 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 14 SE 12
Dispersion Index 36 12 25
Stability Class B F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-052100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 30 60
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.30
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 6
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+5) 68 (+8) 81
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-6) 100 (+10) 74
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 SE 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 E 4 SE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6300 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6500 2000
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 6 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) E 14 SE 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 12000 3600
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 6 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 14 SE 15
Dispersion Index 34 12 29
Stability Class B F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-052100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20 50
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.23
Precip Duration (hrs) 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+5) 64 (+6) 80
RH % (24h trend) 44 (+6) 100 (+5) 69
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 SE 4 SE 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5700 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6100 2200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 6 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 SE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 11400 4200
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 16 SE 16
Dispersion Index 39 13 28
Stability Class B F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-052100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 20 50
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.19
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 2
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+5) 65 (+7) 81
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+3) 100 (+3) 69
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 E 5 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5600 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6000 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 7 SE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 SE 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 12600 4200
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 16 SE 16
Dispersion Index 40 13 31
Stability Class B E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-052100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 40 60
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.16
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 6
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+4) 67 (+7) 82
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+1) 100 (+7) 73
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 SE 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 7 E 5 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6100 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6300 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 7 SE 7
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 SE 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 13300 6300
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 15 SE 16
Dispersion Index 39 16 34
Stability Class B E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-052100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 30 50
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.07
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 86 (+3) 67 (+7) 82
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+7) 100 (+4) 64
AM Wind 20ft (mph) E 6 SE 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 E 5 SE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5500 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5900 3000
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 7 SE 7
Transport Wnd (mph) E 16 SE 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 12600 6300
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 SE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 15 SE 16
Dispersion Index 43 13 34
Stability Class B E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$