Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
393
FNUS54 KMEG 302031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions will persist across the Mid-South through
Thursday,
with minimum relative humidity values remaining in the 30 to 40%
range this afternoon and 40 to 50% range Thursday afternoon.
Additional moisture will return to the region on Friday through
the upcoming weekend, with a medium to high chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-010900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 50 90
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.36
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 12
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+8) 92 (-1) 70 79
RH % (24h trend) 74 (-2) 42 (+4) 100 91
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 S 10 G18 S 6 NE 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6400 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6600 2100
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 N 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 N 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 16000 2400
Category Day 5 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 10 N 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 21 N 17
Dispersion Index 14 53 13 16
Stability Class E C E C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-010900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 40 90
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.17
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 10
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 70 (+2) 94 (0) 71 86
RH % (24h trend) 83 (+19) 41 (+3) 100 73
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 S 7 S 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6400 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6600 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 14000 3000
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 8 NW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 18 NW 13
Dispersion Index 13 49 13 19
Stability Class F B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-010900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 50 90
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.47
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 12
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+5) 92 (+1) 70 79
RH % (24h trend) 79 (-1) 42 (+7) 100 88
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 S 8 S 5 N 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6200 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6600 2200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 NW 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 NW 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 16000 2800
Category Day 5 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 9 NW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 21 NW 16
Dispersion Index 12 49 12 18
Stability Class E C E C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-010900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 30 80
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.27
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 10
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+5) 92 (0) 70 83
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+7) 42 (+7) 100 77
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 S 9 S 5 NW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6300 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6700 3000
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 W 4
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 W 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 14000 3600
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 8 NW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 18 NW 16
Dispersion Index 12 47 11 21
Stability Class F C E C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-010900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 30 80
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.06
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 5
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+1) 94 (+1) 71 90
RH % (24h trend) 93 (+25) 44 (+6) 100 65
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 S 8 S 5 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6400 4200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6600 4400
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 W 3
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 W 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 14000 3900
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 NW 12
Dispersion Index 12 46 12 22
Stability Class F B E B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-010900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Chance (%) 10 70
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 6
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 64 (+4) 92 (+1) 69 90
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+16) 45 (+11) 100 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 S 8 S 5 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5900 4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6300 5000
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 SW 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 13300 4500
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 83 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 W 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 W 12
Dispersion Index 9 43 9 25
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$