Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
088
FNUS54 KMEG 132031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
.DISCUSSION...
There will be a potential for patchy fog tonight, particularly
over north Mississippi and West Tennessee. A warming trend will
begin to decrease minimum relative humidity values, with most of
the area expected to see values below 40%. This trend will
continue through much of next week while near-record heat
prevails throughout the region. Fortunately, 20-foot winds are
expected to be light, and afternoon 10-hour fuels are expected to
remain above 10%, which will keep fire danger to a minimum
through the period.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-140900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 10 10
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-1) 99 (+3) 73 99
RH % (24h trend) 96 (0) 43 (-5) 90 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 E 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 2500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 8200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5600 8400
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 4 S 5
Transport Wnd (mph) E 8 S 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 6800 13000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 85 91
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 5 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 11 S 9
Dispersion Index 8 22 8 32
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-140900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 10 10
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Temp (24h trend) 73 (-1) 101 (+3) 74 101
RH % (24h trend) 97 (+2) 38 (-4) 89 35
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 2500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6200 8100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 2500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6400 8300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 3 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 6 S 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 6000 10000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 88 91
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 2 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 5 S 8
Dispersion Index 7 16 8 27
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
38 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-140900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+2) 97 (+1) 72 100
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 44 (-3) 92 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4 S 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 2400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4300 7900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 2500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4700 8300
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 7 S 9
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 10000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 84 90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 5 S 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 11 S 11
Dispersion Index 8 18 9 29
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
42 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-140900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Temp (24h trend) 70 (0) 98 (+1) 72 99
RH % (24h trend) 99 (0) 41 (-2) 90 36
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5900 8400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 2700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6300 8800
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 3 S 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 6 S 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 5700 10800
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 87 90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 2 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 5 S 9
Dispersion Index 5 13 8 25
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-140900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 10
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (-1) 101 (+3) 73 101
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+3) 38 (-6) 94 36
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6200 8500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 2700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6500 8700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SE 3 S 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 6 S 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 6000 8100
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 89 90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) E 2 S 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) E 3 S 8
Dispersion Index 5 12 7 22
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-140900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 10
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Temp (24h trend) 71 (+1) 99 (+2) 72 99
RH % (24h trend) 98 (-1) 37 (-6) 91 34
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 2000 2500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6500 8200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2100 2600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6900 8600
Transport Wnd (m/s) E 2 SE 4
Transport Wnd (mph) E 5 SE 8
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 10400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 89 90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 2 SE 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 4 SE 7
Dispersion Index 2 10 6 22
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$