Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
763
FNUS54 KMEG 062042
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be low through the period as wetting
rains soak fuels and keep minimum relative humidity values above
50% through Wednesday. A cold front will sweep through Wednesday
afternoon, drying the region through at least this weekend.
Rainfall totals will be 2 to 4 inches along and north of I-40 and
up to 1 to 2 inches for locations to the south.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-070915-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 90 80 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Precip Amount 1.01 0.49 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 10 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-1) 79 (+2) 58 74
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+8) 75 (-8) 100 47
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 10
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 N 6 N 6 NE 11 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 4300
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 NE 8
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 NE 18
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 10400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 5 NE 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 10 NE 20
Dispersion Index 9 23 26 49
Stability Class D C E C
Stagnation Index 1 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-070915-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 80 50 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Precip Amount 0.94 0.19 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 10 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 70 (0) 81 (+3) 62 77
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+4) 74 (-11) 100 56
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 Lgt/Var NE 8 G17
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2200 4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 NE 8
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 NE 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 10400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) W 7 NE 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) W 15 NE 19
Dispersion Index 11 23 22 43
Stability Class D C E C
Stagnation Index 1 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-070915-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 90 90 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Precip Amount 0.74 0.96 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 8 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 67 (-2) 78 (+1) 57 74
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+9) 81 (0) 100 53
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 N 8
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 NW 4 N 4 NE 9 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 300 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1100 3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 500 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1500 4100
Transport Wnd (m/s) NW 5 NE 8
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 12 NE 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 2500 10400
Category Day 2 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 NE 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 NE 18
Dispersion Index 10 24 15 39
Stability Class D C D C
Stagnation Index 1 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Light and
variable winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-070915-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Precip Amount 0.56 0.46 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 10 8 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-1) 81 (+3) 59 75
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+7) 79 (-4) 100 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 N 8
PM Wind 20ft (mph) E 4 W 5 Lgt/Var NE 9 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1600 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2000 4000
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 6 NE 7
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 NE 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 3600 8400
Category Day 2 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 NE 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 NE 17
Dispersion Index 12 27 15 34
Stability Class D C E C
Stagnation Index 1 2 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-070915-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 70 60 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Precip Amount 0.30 0.12 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 7 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 68 (-3) 84 (+4) 63 79
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+4) 73 (-10) 100 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var N 8
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 5 W 4 Lgt/Var N 9 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2300 4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 4500
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 6 N 7
Transport Wnd (mph) W 13 N 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 9800
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 N 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 N 16
Dispersion Index 12 24 21 42
Stability Class E C E C
Stagnation Index 2 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-070915-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
342 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 40 0
Precip Chance (%) 70 60 40 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.11 0.21 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 4 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 67 (-4) 84 (+5) 62 78
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+5) 70 (-7) 100 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 N 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var N 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2500 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 N 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 N 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 8400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 N 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 N 14
Dispersion Index 11 29 16 33
Stability Class E C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$