Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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398
FNUS54 KMEG 232131
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

.DISCUSSION...

No major fire weather concerns through at least the middle of the
week, with minRH values remaining above 40%. The next chance of
appreciable rainfall will occur Monday into Tuesday, with 1 to
2 inches expected. Conditions will dry out by Wednesday, but
winds will remain light through the end of the week.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-241000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0
Precip Chance (%)                  80           100          30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.36         0.67         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs)              6            11           2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      45 (-4)      60 (0)       52           66
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+4)     76 (+9)      100          73
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   W  5
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      S  6         SE  6        W  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  200                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 800                       2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  300                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1000                      2900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      W  5
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 12                      W 12
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1500                      4500
Category Day                       1                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              54                        59
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  4                      W  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  9                      W 12
Dispersion Index      11           15           12           22
Stability Class       F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-241000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            50           0
Precip Chance (%)                  80           100          30
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.20         0.88         0.05
Precip Duration (hrs)              4            12           2
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      47 (-5)      66 (+4)      56           70
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     75 (+9)      100          73
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  4
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SE  4        SE  5        W  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1100                      3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  400                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1300                      3600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 10                      W 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2000                      6600
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              57                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  4                     W  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  9                     W 11
Dispersion Index      8            13           15           28
Stability Class       F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
50s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-241000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           0
Precip Chance (%)                  70           100          50
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.12         0.83         0.11
Precip Duration (hrs)              3            12           2
Precip Begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      43 (-2)      64 (+3)      53           69
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     59 (-4)      100          74
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      S  4         SE  5        W  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1000                      2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  400                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1300                      2800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  9                      W 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1600                      4800
Category Day                       1                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              55                        61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 12                      W 15
Dispersion Index      11           15           15           27
Stability Class       F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-241000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            50           20
Precip Chance (%)                  60           100          50
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.89         0.17
Precip Duration (hrs)              2            12           2
Precip Begin                       11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      42 (-8)      68 (+5)      54           71
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+5)     57 (0)       100          71
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      S  4         SE  5        W  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1100                      2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  500                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1500                      3000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  4                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  9                      W 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2000                      5400
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              58                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 12                      W 16
Dispersion Index      7            14           15           30
Stability Class       F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
38 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-241000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            50           20
Precip Chance (%)                  60           100          50
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.98         0.16
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            12           2
Precip Begin                       10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      45 (-8)      71 (+7)      56           72
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+6)     59 (-4)      100          70
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SE  4        SE  5        W  6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1900                      3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2200                      3600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 10                      W 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3500                      7700
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              60                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  5                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 11                     SW 18
Dispersion Index      7            21           17           33
Stability Class       F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-241000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CST Sun Nov 23 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            50           20
Precip Chance (%)                  30           100          80
Precip Type           None         Showers      Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.92         0.28
Precip Duration (hrs)              1            12           7
Precip Begin                       12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      43 (-11)     72 (+6)      56           73
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+5)      53 (-1)      100          67
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      S  4         SE  4        SW  5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2400                      2700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2800                      3100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 12                      W 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4000                      8000
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              62                        68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 13                      SW 22
Dispersion Index      7            22           14           41
Stability Class       F            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Light and
variable winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
35 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$