Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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389
FNUS54 KMEG 312031
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather danger is present across the Mid-South today
and will continue tomorrow. This is mainly due to low humidity
(MinRHs below 30%, especially for north MS in the Holly Springs NF
area) and ongoing drought conditions leading to dry fuels.
Rainfall will be pretty isolated early next week and may not
provide much drought relief, though MinRHs do increase to 50+% by
Tuesday. Another cool and dry airmass is on its way midweek and
may further exacerbate fire weather concerns starting Friday
depending on how widespread the rainfall we receive next week is.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-010900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           20
Precip Chance (%)                  10           20           30
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      60 (-4)      86 (-1)      63           83
RH % (24h trend)      79 (-2)      36 (-2)      89           51
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 NE  4                     Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  6        NE  4        NE  4        NE  4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1400                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4700                      5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1500                      1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5000                      5300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  3                     NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  7                     NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4500                      4800
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  4                     NW  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE 10                     NW  4
Dispersion Index      11           19           6            15
Stability Class       F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-010900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            30           40
Precip Chance (%)                  10           30           40
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.21
Precip Duration (hrs)                           2            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-3)      90 (+1)      63           86
RH % (24h trend)      80 (0)       33 (-1)      91           50
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1600                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5300                      4100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1700                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 5500                      4300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  3                      NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  6                      NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5100                      3900
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              79                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  4                     NE  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  9                     NE 10
Dispersion Index      11           14           7            12
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-010900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           40
Precip Chance (%)                  10           30           40
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.16
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      56 (-7)      88 (+1)      61           83
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+5)      32 (-2)      99           53
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1700                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5600                      4600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1800                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 6000                      5000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  3                      SW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  6                      SW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5400                      4500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              76                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  3                     SW  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  7                     SW  4
Dispersion Index      9            15           5            12
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-010900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           40
Precip Chance (%)                  10           30           40
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.17
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      58 (-2)      89 (+1)      63           83
RH % (24h trend)      81 (-1)      33 (0)       97           54
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1700                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5600                      4500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  1800                      1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 6000                      4900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                N  3                      W  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  6                      W  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5400                      4500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              77                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  3                     SW  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  7                     SW  7
Dispersion Index      9            14           5            17
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-010900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            30           40
Precip Chance (%)                  10           30           40
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07
Precip Duration (hrs)                           1            2
Precip Begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-3)      90 (0)       64           86
RH % (24h trend)      82 (0)       34 (+2)      94           53
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  1900                      1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6400                      3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  2000                      1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 6600                      3900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  2                     N  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW  5                     N  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4000                      3600
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              82                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NE  3                     NE  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NE  7                     NE 10
Dispersion Index      10           12           6            16
Stability Class       F            A            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-010900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           50
Precip Chance (%)                  10           30           50
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.17
Precip Duration (hrs)                           2            2
Precip Begin                                    7 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      61 (0)       90 (+1)      64           85
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+4)      35 (+4)      100          50
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  2000                      1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6500                      4200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  2100                      1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 6900                      4600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  2                      SW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  5                      SW  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      4200
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              80                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  3                     S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  6                     S  9
Dispersion Index      8            14           6            20
Stability Class       F            A            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$