Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
444
FNUS54 KMEG 172131
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Minimum RH`s this afternoon will dip into the low to middle 20s in
west Tennessee and northeast Mississippi. An increasingly wet
and unsettled pattern will settle over the Mid-South this week.
Fire weather concerns will be minimal through the period.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-181000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 40 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 20 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 6 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 PM 12 AM
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+13) 79 (+14) 55 75
RH % (24h trend) 90 (+23) 61 (+33) 100 58
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 13 G23 NW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 7 G17 SW 12 G23 SW 6 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2800 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3100 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 SW 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 SW 6
Vent Index (m2/s) 9000 2100
Category Day 4 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 29 N 10
Dispersion Index 18 54 11 11
Stability Class E D F C
Stagnation Index 2 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-181000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 10 20 10
Precip Type None None Showers None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 12 AM
Temp (24h trend) 58 (+10) 79 (+11) 61 80
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+31) 65 (+31) 100 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G22 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 G17 SW 9 G22 SW 4 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3000 4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 11000 7800
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 11 NW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 25 NW 15
Dispersion Index 16 56 10 34
Stability Class F C F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-181000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 40 50 60 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+13) 76 (+11) 56 75
RH % (24h trend) 74 (-5) 49 (+25) 100 60
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 11 G22 W 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 SW 10 G22 SW 5 Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1900 1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2300 2200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 11 W 3
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 W 7
Vent Index (m2/s) 7700 2100
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 13 NW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 30 NW 9
Dispersion Index 15 49 11 13
Stability Class E C F C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs around 60.
Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-181000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 20 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 40 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 6 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 PM 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+13) 77 (+9) 59 78
RH % (24h trend) 81 (0) 47 (+23) 100 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 11 G22 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 SW 11 G22 SW 5 W 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2800 2900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 W 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 W 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 9000 4500
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 12 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 28 NW 11
Dispersion Index 15 53 11 25
Stability Class E C F C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 68 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-181000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 10 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 10 10 10
Precip Type None None Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+7) 80 (+9) 60 81
RH % (24h trend) 96 (+34) 60 (+31) 100 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10 G20 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 6 SW 10 G21 SW 5 SW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3100 4200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3300 4400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 7800
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 10 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 23 W 12
Dispersion Index 15 57 13 36
Stability Class F C F C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-181000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 20 10
Precip Type None None Showers None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+11) 80 (+10) 58 81
RH % (24h trend) 80 (+7) 48 (+24) 100 55
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G19 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4 SW 9 G19 SW 4 SW 4
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2700 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3200 4000
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 10 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 W 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 10000 7200
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68 68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 10 W 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 21 W 13
Dispersion Index 12 48 9 36
Stability Class F C F C
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$