Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
448
FNUS54 KMEG 152031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Light south/southwest winds and high humidity will persist into at
least the middle of the work week. Shower and thunderstorm
chances are in the 50-60% range each afternoon and evening in a
summertime convective pattern. Hot and humid conditions will
return late week with temperatures rising into the lower to middle
90s.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 70 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 80 80 60 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.23 0.27 0.05 0.12
Precip Duration (hrs) 9 10 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 71 (0) 81 (-6) 70 88
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 74 (+7) 100 61
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2700 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2500 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 7000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 82
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 SW 12
Dispersion Index 7 25 6 34
Stability Class E B F B
Stagnation Index 3 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 70 70 20 20
Precip Chance (%) 70 80 60 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.19 0.19 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 7 9 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 71 (0) 82 (-3) 71 88
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 75 (+4) 100 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 3200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2400 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 7000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 12
Dispersion Index 9 34 9 43
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 1 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 70 70 30
Precip Chance (%) 50 80 80 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.12 0.39 0.38 0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 8 7 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-1) 82 (-5) 69 87
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 75 (+6) 100 64
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2300 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2900 2900
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 7 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 16 SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 6300 6300
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 76 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SE 7 SW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SE 16 SW 15
Dispersion Index 5 33 8 41
Stability Class F B D B
Stagnation Index 3 1 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 70 70 40
Precip Chance (%) 60 80 80 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.09 0.16 0.17 0.10
Precip Duration (hrs) 4 7 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-3) 82 (-4) 69 87
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 73 (+2) 100 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 900 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2800 2700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 5600
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 8 SW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 19 SW 15
Dispersion Index 7 38 9 44
Stability Class F B E B
Stagnation Index 3 1 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 70 70 40
Precip Chance (%) 60 80 80 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.10 0.18 0.08 0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 8 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 70 (-2) 83 (-3) 70 87
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+2) 75 (0) 100 69
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 8
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s) 6400 8800
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 80
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 10 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 22 SW 12
Dispersion Index 9 40 10 44
Stability Class F B E B
Stagnation Index 3 1 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
331 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 70 60 50
Precip Chance (%) 50 80 60 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.06 0.13 0.18 0.07
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 5 3 5
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 69 (-2) 85 (0) 70 88
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+1) 69 (-4) 100 66
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2700 2600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3500 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s) 8800 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 79
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 9 SW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 19 SW 15
Dispersion Index 7 42 10 37
Stability Class F B F B
Stagnation Index 3 1 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. Highs in
the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$