Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
357
FNUS54 KMEG 040830
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A cold frontal passage late Sunday afternoon into the evening
will usher in a significantly cooler and drier air mass. Behind
the front, minimum relative humidity values are expected to drop
near 30 percent south of Interstate 40 on Monday and Tuesday,
with a medium-to-high probability of widespread relative humidity
dropping below 30 percent on Wednesday and Thursday. Rain-free
conditions and low fire weather moisture levels will likely
continue through late next weekend.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-042100-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+7) 54 (-7) 77
RH % (24h trend) 43 (-35) 97 (-2) 40
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 NE 8
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 8 N 4 NE 9
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3500 3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3700 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 7 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) N 15 NE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 7700 7800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 6 NE 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 14 NE 20
Dispersion Index 41 12 40
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-042100-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+10) 55 (-9) 83
RH % (24h trend) 47 (-40) 91 (-8) 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 NE 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 6 N 5 NE 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1100 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3700 4500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3900 4700
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 7 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) N 15 NE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 8400 8400
Category Day 4 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 7 NE 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 15 NE 21
Dispersion Index 44 12 46
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-042100-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 79 (+8) 51 (-10) 77
RH % (24h trend) 49 (-33) 98 (-2) 41
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 6 N 4 NE 8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3300 4200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3700 4600
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 5 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 NE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 5500 8400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 5 NE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 12 NE 17
Dispersion Index 34 10 37
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-042100-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 10
Precip Type None None None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs)
Precip Begin
Precip End
Temp (24h trend) 80 (+8) 53 (-10) 79
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-31) 95 (-5) 38
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 4 NE 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 6 N 5 NE 9
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3400 4500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3800 4900
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 NE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 9000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 5 NE 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 12 NE 18
Dispersion Index 34 11 42
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-042100-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 10
Precip Type Showers None None
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+6) 57 (-9) 84
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-22) 86 (-14) 35
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 5 NE 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) N 8 N 5 NE 9
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3300 4500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3600 4700
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 6 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 NE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 6600 8400
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 75 73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) NE 6 NE 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) NE 13 NE 19
Dispersion Index 34 14 45
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
29 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. East winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-042100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Precip Chance (%) 30 10
Precip Type Tstms None None
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+3) 57 (-10) 85
RH % (24h trend) 62 (-13) 96 (-4) 32
AM Wind 20ft (mph) N 4 NE 7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) NE 5 N 4 NE 9
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2900 4400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1000 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3300 4800
Transport Wnd (m/s) N 5 NE 6
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 NE 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 5000 9000
Category Day 3 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 74 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) N 4 NE 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) N 10 NE 16
Dispersion Index 25 10 42
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
34 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
27 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$