Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
012
FNUS54 KMEG 210931
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances will persist through Friday night, limiting
the overall fire weather threat. Minimum relative humidity values
will remain above 50% through the remainder of the period with
additional rain chances returning early next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212200-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 40 0
Precip Chance (%) 70 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.09 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Temp (24h trend) 73 (+14) 52 (-5) 62
RH % (24h trend) 77 (-16) 100 (0) 71
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 N 6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 8 G17 SW 4 N 6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 600 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1800 2300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2100 2600
Transport Wnd (m/s) W 7 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) W 16 N 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 4200 4800
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 55
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 N 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 18 N 15
Dispersion Index 33 20 29
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 76 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212200-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 30 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+11) 57 (-2) 68
RH % (24h trend) 75 (-18) 100 (0) 71
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 N 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2600 2600
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 N 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 6400 5600
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72 60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 N 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 18 N 14
Dispersion Index 42 12 29
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. East winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-212200-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 80 70 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.17 0.21 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 4 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Temp (24h trend) 72 (+13) 53 (-4) 63
RH % (24h trend) 79 (-15) 100 (0) 70
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 N 5
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 4 N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 400 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1400 1900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 600 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 1800 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 N 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 4800 3500
Category Day 3 2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69 55
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 19 N 12
Dispersion Index 31 19 24
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower
40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-212200-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 60 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.10 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 4 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Temp (24h trend) 74 (+9) 55 (-5) 68
RH % (24h trend) 78 (-16) 100 (0) 69
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 N 4
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 G17 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1800 2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2200 2300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 N 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 4200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 N 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 18 N 12
Dispersion Index 37 17 25
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212200-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 40 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 40 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.03 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 3 AM
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+6) 59 (-3) 73
RH % (24h trend) 74 (-9) 100 (0) 62
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var N 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 700 800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2400 2700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2700 2900
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 N 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 N 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 5600 5400
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 73 64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 16 NW 10
Dispersion Index 39 10 26
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212200-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 50 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.06 0.15 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 5 AM
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+4) 58 (-2) 75
RH % (24h trend) 74 (-7) 100 (0) 56
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NW 5
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 500 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1800 3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2200 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 7 NW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 NW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 4900 6000
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 70 66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 7 NW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 15 NW 8
Dispersion Index 30 9 28
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$