Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
739
FNUS54 KMEG 172031
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low fire danger is anticipated through the weekend as MinRH values
remain above 30 percent with light 20ft winds. Wetting rain
chances return Saturday night along a cold front. Behind this
boundary, MinRH will drop to around 30 percent.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-180900-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 50 100
Precip Type None Showers Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.66 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 8
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+4) 86 (+1) 54 68
RH % (24h trend) 84 (-6) 48 (+2) 100 35
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10 G19 NW 12 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4 SW 14 G23 SW 11 G21 NW 10 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1500 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4900 5600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5100 5900
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 10 NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph) S 23 NW 22
Vent Index (m2/s) 16000 18000
Category Day 5 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 59
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 11 NW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 24 NW 21
Dispersion Index 12 61 28 71
Stability Class F C E C
Stagnation Index 3 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
50. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-180900-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Clear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 30 100
Precip Type None Showers Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.73 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 7
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+3) 88 (+2) 56 69
RH % (24h trend) 89 (-2) 45 (+3) 100 36
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 7 G17 NW 9 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 10 G22 SW 8 G20 NW 8 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5500 5400
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 10 NW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) S 23 NW 20
Vent Index (m2/s) 17000 14400
Category Day 5 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 59
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 10 NW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 22 NW 21
Dispersion Index 13 53 22 67
Stability Class F C E C
Stagnation Index 3 2 1 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-180900-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 20 100 10
Precip Type None None Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.06
Precip Duration (hrs) 11 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+4) 86 (+2) 54 68
RH % (24h trend) 90 (-3) 46 (-1) 100 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G18 W 13 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 12 G22 S 10 G21 NW 10 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5500 5900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5900 6300
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 10 NW 11
Transport Wnd (mph) S 22 NW 24
Vent Index (m2/s) 18000 20900
Category Day 5 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 60
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 10 NW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 22 NW 23
Dispersion Index 11 58 32 71
Stability Class F C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-180900-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 100 10
Precip Type None None Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 11
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+4) 86 (+1) 55 68
RH % (24h trend) 90 (-5) 47 (0) 100 39
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 9 G18 NW 12 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 12 G22 S 10 G21 NW 10 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5600 5500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1800
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6000 5900
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 10 NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph) S 22 NW 23
Vent Index (m2/s) 18000 18000
Category Day 5 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 10 NW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 22 NW 22
Dispersion Index 11 53 22 68
Stability Class F C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-180900-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 100 10
Precip Type None None Tstms None
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 10
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+1) 88 (0) 57 70
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+8) 47 (+7) 100 38
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 8 G17 NW 10 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 11 G22 S 9 G20 NW 9 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5100 4900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5300 5100
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 10 NW 9
Transport Wnd (mph) S 23 NW 21
Vent Index (m2/s) 16000 14400
Category Day 5 4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 NW 9
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 19 NW 20
Dispersion Index 13 53 26 65
Stability Class F C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 1 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-180900-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
330 PM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mcldy Mclear
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 50 0
Precip Chance (%) 10 100 20
Precip Type None None Tstms Showers
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.10
Precip Duration (hrs) 11 2
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+2) 87 (+1) 57 70
RH % (24h trend) 98 (+7) 45 (+3) 100 37
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6 NW 10 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 11 G19 S 9 G19 NW 10 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5200 5100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5600 5500
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 9 NW 10
Transport Wnd (mph) S 20 NW 22
Vent Index (m2/s) 15300 17000
Category Day 4 5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 77 64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 NW 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 18 NW 19
Dispersion Index 10 52 22 65
Stability Class F C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 1 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 32 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$